So here we are. The PS4 has been announced and I would like to see how my predictions panned out compared to Pachter's 240fps prediction. Now, I've made it known through various comments how much I despise the way that he dominates the news cycle with every misguided, contentious little thing that he says but I digress. Let us continue and be done with it.
You will find my blog here. http://n4g.com/user/blogpos...
Just a couple of simple predictions to see if I was accurate in anything compared to Pachter.
1. The share function is a game changer.
I personally believed that the share function would be a game changer for Sony and I believe I was correct in my estimation for them to focus on tightening up and foster a community based on sharing video files to friends and on various social media. I have to admit that I was surprised about the extent of how far they were willing to go in terms of achieving that goal.
By fostering a dedicated gamer community with profiles etc, the ability for "backseat" gaming whereby they touched upon the possibility of multi-casting on Ustream with the possibility of allowing another user to take over from the user to get past a rough spot in a level. There is also the hint of a director mode where the backseat contingent can help (or hinder?) a player going through a level. Sony also seemed to have put in a greater impetus upon synergy by allowing the ability to connect with your content through any internet enabled device and the console will also recommend titles from your favourite genre or creator; based on the titles that you play.
2. The PSN will be free (with ADs)
As of yet, there has been no indication of ads being implemented on the PSN. However, if they want to make the fastest global network ever made; they will need a significant amount of investment for that to happen. I sincerely doubt that all the features that have been presented will all be free without a string attached. Also, the Gaikai service which would allow users to play PS1, PS2 and perhaps even PS3 games on the PS4 won't be free. It brings me to my next point on backwards compatibility.
3. There will be no backwards compatibility for the PS4.
Sony has claimed that Gaikai is advanced enough for the ability to emulate PS1-PS3 games but here's the kicker. It's going to be released incrementally and I have my doubts on whether or not Gaikai will work on the current networks that most people are on. Unless they've developed Gaikai in such a way that anyone with a PS4 can connect with no problems; I remain unconvinced that (digital) backwards compatibility is possible. Perhaps it'll allow for selected PS1-PS3 games to be bought and played on the cloud but until E3 comes; this is all just conjecture on my part. It would've also been nice if they used this streaming technology for the conference in question but I'll just count that as just a missed opportunity.
4. The Vita will be getting some serious support.
This was Vita's last chance and attempting to make it an integral part of the experience for the PS4 gives it as good a shot as anything can at this point. The ability to use social media on the Vita puts it in a unique position where people can post challenges, check leaderboards, with the ability to cross-play with PS4 games like Krack demonstrated. With the price drop as well, the Vita could make a comeback and become a device that complements the PS4 very well and vice versa.
5. The graphics/games that will be shown will be first-party releases, something random and Watch Dogs.
Nailed it. Killzone-Shadowfall made an appearance but whether or not the trailer will be indicative of the actual product at hand is a different story. If Aliens:Colonial Marines taught us anything, it was that demos can be downright misleading. There was a couple of random things that snuck up such as Capcom's demonstration of their new in-house engine "Panca Rhei" with their demo Deep Down with cutscenes (no gameplay) Jon Blow's new first-person puzzler The Witness , with a clear nod to Myst and Media Molocule's demonstration of using the PS Move for content creation which I found impressive even though it was merely a tech demo.
Quantic Dream's David Cage waffled on about how technology is important for moving the industry forward by showing the amount of polygons that have increased from The Nomad Soul up to Beyond:Two Souls. Then he showed a floating head which showed the level of expression that was now capable with the PS4. Thought that Watch Dogs would make an appearance and seemed to hit all the right notes with the audience. Though I genuinely wonder if it was PS4 footage or if it was high-end PC graphics for most of the games that were on show.
Since I've clearly shown that even an average gamer can predict the future better than Pachter; can we stop giving him an audience?
We were expecting problems with mod support, but there are a lot of other issues.
This is why you get the GOG version on gog you can select the version of the game to download.
On pc fallout 4 fallout new vegas and skyrim are all broken on steam because they all got the same "next gen" update.
Skyrim dec 2023
https://www.pcgamer.com/sky...
Can not find new vegas but anyone that modded it knows the script extender there was also broken
Not accidental, they want modders to stop modding their older games to force them to mod Shitfield.
There doing the same on starfield with a mods store and blocking mods
There goal is like blizzard and what they did with fallout 76 you make mods they can sell and you become a slave.
On skyrim they have "trusted" mod devs now basically a badge that lets your mod on the store you get a crumb of the sale when someone buys it.
lol to the disagrees, the last Skyrim update broke mods too. They've been trying to kill mods to monetize them in creation club for years, it's not a stretch that they purposely put out patches just to break free mods.
The disagrees are from people who have common sense. They aren't trying to kill mods. Most mods for any game will break with a new update because they rely on files/code that have been changed. This isn't new. Even with Bethesda this would happen way before the creation club. Mod support is literally one of the things that got Bethesda to where they are, and they're one of the only devs that releases comprehensive mod tools for each of their games.
Over 14 GBs and doesn't change much at all? What? Taking up that much drive space for a pathetic 'remastering' is shameful.
Par for Bethesda.
LOL people are actually expecting massive improvements or something? From Bethesda?? the same people who released Skyrim multiple times and the all look like shit? THAT Bethesda? are people for real?
As of right now, there are no monopolies in the games industry, and for the sake of the medium as a whole, they never should either.
And yet the biggest tech companies in America are essentially that. They buy up all the small comps only to kill them off and steal what they have, and if they can't buy em they bleed them to death.
Eventually they’ll realize the value is with the employee not the company. Buying an IP means nothing if the people who contributed are let go. They’ll get it one day.
tech is different because they buy threats and then kill them. Twitter bought Vine and did nothing with it. Despite people seemingly liking it. Could've had tiktok a decade before bytedance. go figure.
They buy IPs not talent. That's why these buyouts never work and the IPs die. Right now it's too expensive to develop games - but I expect that to shift maybe as AI tools can make it easier. The best games have been indie games for awhile as big developers fuck their ips to death with "games as a service" -
A voice actor from The Coalition's third-person shooter series, Gears of War, has hinted at a new game announcement coming in June.
Hopefully Microsoft will go back to the original story line and get away from that woke nonsense from the last Gears game Gears of Woke! But were talking about Microsoft so all the betting money is on more of the same woke nonsense.
All of the information in your first post that you linked, was already going around the internet as rumors, so you basically just used those. Did you honestly predict those on your own without other sources? Come on now. You didn't predict that stuff, you just agreed with what you heard about the rumors, to be true.
That's pretty much like saying you won a gold medal in the Special Olympics dude.
***High 5***
My uncle's goat is better at predictions than Patcher.
...You want some gummy bears or something?
To be honest, I like predicting too.
I've been saying for almost a year that the PS4 would be a beast, a mighty CAL/OpenCL GPGPU, while everybody was saying the opposite "it will be a small upgrade", "they will follow the wii path", "don't expect much better graphics"
Well I'm calling it now: what we saw lately is NOTHING compared to what the system will be capable of.
Regardless of the CPU limitations, expect graphics comparable to high end PC setups except for performance; most games will be Vsynced 24p-30p. Expect 60fps rereleases of recent games though.
Ok yeah Michael Pachter sucks at predicting but your predictions were based on the edge article which nailed the reveal of the ps4; however, you were spot on in regards to kill zone 4 and watchdogs along with no backwards compatibility. Sadly I have no gummy bears to give out.