How to find out CS2 Case odds?

Shortdust Map Counter-Strike 2

Contrary to popular belief, when you are opening Cases in CS2, not everything depends on pure luck. Undoubtedly, there is a method to the madness. So if you are looking for an explanation of how to find out CS2 Case odds, we can help. Read on and we will explain what are the odds when you are opening a Case in CS2.

CS2 Case odds explained

Most CS2 cases contain skins of five different rarity values. The probability of getting high-value items is as follows:

  • Rare – Mil-Spec (blue) 79.92%
  • Mythical – Restricted (purple) 15.98%
  • Legendary – classified (pink) 3.2%
  • Ancient – covert (red) 0.64%
  • Exceedingly Rear Special (gold) 0.26%

This means that opening a Case in CS2 will most likely get you a Mil-Spec skin with an almost 80% chance. On the other hand, there is almost a 16% chance of getting a restricted skin. Furthermore, you will have to rely on pure luck to get any skin above that. 

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How to get Cases in CS2?

There are two ways you can get Cases in CS2.  You can get a case for free by simply playing the game. This means that every time you rank up your account for the first time during the week you will receive a Case as a potential reward. Keep in mind that the Case you receive this way will be 99% from an active drop pool. At this time, the active drop pool contains the Revolution Case, Recoil Case, Dream & Nightmare Case, Snakebite Case, and Fracture Case. Alternatively to this, there is a 1% chance you will get a rare Case drop.

Another way of gating Cases in CS2 is to simply buy them from the Market. This can be done through the official Steam Market or you can use third-party trading websites. Third-party websites might offer better deals, but the Steam Market is a more reliable way to purchase Cases.

If you are looking for more information about Counter-Strike 2, check out other articles from our team, like CS2 Prime Status: What is it and is it Worth it, Best Viewmodel commands in CS2, and CS2 Replay controls explained.

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