Revised hardware sales forecast from IDC

Source: Dean Takahashi's Blog page.

Microsoft's Xbox 360 installed base of consoles sold is expected to grow from 10 million in 2006 to 19.8 million by the end of 2007 and 30.4 million by the end of 2008. The PS 3 suffered from launch problems but IDC expects it and all of the consoles to be successful. The PS 3 is expected to grow to 11.7 million by the end of 2007 and 24.5 million by the end of 2008. The Wii is expected to hit 13.3 million by the end of 2007 and 32.1 million by the en dof 2008. Between those three platforms, the market share in 2008 comes out to 35 percent for Microsoft, 28 percent for Sony, and 37 percent for Nintendo.

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BIadestarX4307d ago

Even if Sony wins the console war by 2010. This time around will be better than what Nintendo or Microsoft can ever hoped. If the PS3 would cost $200-$300 the story would be a lot different.

highps34307d ago

Gamers are becoming more nvolved with the companies more then games now a days.

TheExodus4307d ago (Edited 4307d ago )

Isn't a forecast normally based on existing trends that have been weighted for variables that could significantly alter these trends as they're projected over time? PS3 nearly catching Wii by the of 2007 strikes me as less of a forecast & more of a prediction. Were Sony to drop the HDD & BD-ROM in favor of a $299 SKU this might be possible, but short of that I'd say the future for PS3 doesn't look too bright, ever. MS has a new rev. of the 360 coming which has me wondering if they might shift the price of existing SKUs to the left & the new one to the right. I'm sure developers are going to concentrate their efforts on consoles where they stand a fighting chance to see a return on their investment. And by 2011 MS & Nintendo will be talking Next Generation, if not sooner, leaving us with a PS3 that's been so back ended with debt that we're either going to be stuck with a dated console for another 5 years or be forced to terminate our lease early by upgrading to a PS4 that rivals the price of an Alienware PC.

ben hates you4307d ago

what would change there was a price drop for the 360

TheMART4307d ago

I don't know about the Wii.

It's selling now, but it lacks good software. I mean the sport games are nice, but it's not able to hold up with that alone. What's else what is a AAA title?

I think the sales will see a slowdown, especially when more and more people get HDTVs in their houses and want HD gaming (PS3/360).

The 360 beating the PS3 the coming time is an easy fact. The PS3 on top in 2011? Oh hell that's when the next gen consoles will be getting out! 360 will lead in HD consoles, that's for sure. Thus it will get more exclusives etc.

HaKeRsCanRotINHEL4307d ago

about right. I sure hope Micro$oft announces the release date and price of the black HDMI enabled 360 at GDC 07 !? :~]

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