So here we are. The PS4 has been announced and I would like to see how my predictions panned out compared to Pachter's 240fps prediction. Now, I've made it known through various comments how much I despise the way that he dominates the news cycle with every misguided, contentious little thing that he says but I digress. Let us continue and be done with it.
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Just a couple of simple predictions to see if I was accurate in anything compared to Pachter.
1. The share function is a game changer.
I personally believed that the share function would be a game changer for Sony and I believe I was correct in my estimation for them to focus on tightening up and foster a community based on sharing video files to friends and on various social media. I have to admit that I was surprised about the extent of how far they were willing to go in terms of achieving that goal.
By fostering a dedicated gamer community with profiles etc, the ability for "backseat" gaming whereby they touched upon the possibility of multi-casting on Ustream with the possibility of allowing another user to take over from the user to get past a rough spot in a level. There is also the hint of a director mode where the backseat contingent can help (or hinder?) a player going through a level. Sony also seemed to have put in a greater impetus upon synergy by allowing the ability to connect with your content through any internet enabled device and the console will also recommend titles from your favourite genre or creator; based on the titles that you play.
2. The PSN will be free (with ADs)
As of yet, there has been no indication of ads being implemented on the PSN. However, if they want to make the fastest global network ever made; they will need a significant amount of investment for that to happen. I sincerely doubt that all the features that have been presented will all be free without a string attached. Also, the Gaikai service which would allow users to play PS1, PS2 and perhaps even PS3 games on the PS4 won't be free. It brings me to my next point on backwards compatibility.
3. There will be no backwards compatibility for the PS4.
Sony has claimed that Gaikai is advanced enough for the ability to emulate PS1-PS3 games but here's the kicker. It's going to be released incrementally and I have my doubts on whether or not Gaikai will work on the current networks that most people are on. Unless they've developed Gaikai in such a way that anyone with a PS4 can connect with no problems; I remain unconvinced that (digital) backwards compatibility is possible. Perhaps it'll allow for selected PS1-PS3 games to be bought and played on the cloud but until E3 comes; this is all just conjecture on my part. It would've also been nice if they used this streaming technology for the conference in question but I'll just count that as just a missed opportunity.
4. The Vita will be getting some serious support.
This was Vita's last chance and attempting to make it an integral part of the experience for the PS4 gives it as good a shot as anything can at this point. The ability to use social media on the Vita puts it in a unique position where people can post challenges, check leaderboards, with the ability to cross-play with PS4 games like Krack demonstrated. With the price drop as well, the Vita could make a comeback and become a device that complements the PS4 very well and vice versa.
5. The graphics/games that will be shown will be first-party releases, something random and Watch Dogs.
Nailed it. Killzone-Shadowfall made an appearance but whether or not the trailer will be indicative of the actual product at hand is a different story. If Aliens:Colonial Marines taught us anything, it was that demos can be downright misleading. There was a couple of random things that snuck up such as Capcom's demonstration of their new in-house engine "Panca Rhei" with their demo Deep Down with cutscenes (no gameplay) Jon Blow's new first-person puzzler The Witness , with a clear nod to Myst and Media Molocule's demonstration of using the PS Move for content creation which I found impressive even though it was merely a tech demo.
Quantic Dream's David Cage waffled on about how technology is important for moving the industry forward by showing the amount of polygons that have increased from The Nomad Soul up to Beyond:Two Souls. Then he showed a floating head which showed the level of expression that was now capable with the PS4. Thought that Watch Dogs would make an appearance and seemed to hit all the right notes with the audience. Though I genuinely wonder if it was PS4 footage or if it was high-end PC graphics for most of the games that were on show.
Since I've clearly shown that even an average gamer can predict the future better than Pachter; can we stop giving him an audience?
Tamagotchi Plaza debuts in a very low position while Death Stranding 2 soars in the UK games sales charts.
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"“launch sales were ~66% lower than Death Stranding 1"
Maybe he'll put this franchise to rest now and do something new (which I know he is thankfully)
Not to hate if you enjoy these games but they weren’t for everyone and it puzzles me that he did a sequel rather than doing Physint next or even an actual P.T like game.
I just feel he's trying to make Death Stranding a thing, like as big as Metal Gear Solid and it's just not going to happen.
“Maybe he'll put this franchise to rest now and do something new”
He is making new things, so I don’t see what the problem is. Game reviewed better than the first. It has its fans and served its purpose.
At its core, it’s just not a very commercial game. Takes work, which might turn off casuals.
Probably not, the sales won't be much lower than the first game. And its a critical success
Fox
It's selling well digitally you can't compare it to sales of ps4 game because even back than digital wasn't the be all end all like it is today now. With GTA6 delayed DS2 is the game to beat for GOTY
Split fiction and Clair Obscure already have it beat in critic scores.
So does Forza Horizon PS5 :/
Geoff Keighley basically sucks off Kojima and Sony - so yes, it’ll probably be GOTY even though Expedition 33 is better
Cant really compare those. Ones the best RPG since baldurs gate 3. Ones the next game from a game of the year studio and ones the best racing game on Xbox. To score 90 is still very, very good
This is the UK physical charts. This doesn't count digital at all which are the bulk of the sales and a much larger share than they would have been 6 years ago. For example, its the number one game on PSN.
I think he would be happy with your reaction. Remember, he stated that his goal was not to make a hit game loved by everyone. He would have been happy with 4/10 people liking it.
He is making what he wants to make... not what will be the biggest smash hit. He has stated this on MANY, MANY occations. And I think this is okay. I would rather people chase what they want to make as opposed to making money.
However, if you poke your head over on PSN... it looks like its selling just fine.
About the sequel, he ALREADY stated that even though he has a script for a potential DS3, it is not his intention to make another one directly.
Literally this. And its massively improved over the first part. And its not sold badly at all
If they released at the same time Im pretty sure Mario would still take number one.
At least get the statement right, physical sales were down 66%, not total.
https://xcancel.com/Chris_D...
Obviously, digital is bigger part of the landscape than it was on PS4.
Digitally on the PlayStation store it is and has been the best selling retail game since prior to release, and still is today.
Also, the digital edition came with early access.
TSA writes: General Burke wants Harding back for one last mission, but Harding doesn't want to go. I Am Your Beast is the rapid FPS that follows.
From NETK2GAMES out of Barcelona comes one of the most enjoyable arcade racing you’ll play: Rally Arcade Classics is no fluff, all fun.
All of the information in your first post that you linked, was already going around the internet as rumors, so you basically just used those. Did you honestly predict those on your own without other sources? Come on now. You didn't predict that stuff, you just agreed with what you heard about the rumors, to be true.
That's pretty much like saying you won a gold medal in the Special Olympics dude.
***High 5***
My uncle's goat is better at predictions than Patcher.
...You want some gummy bears or something?
To be honest, I like predicting too.
I've been saying for almost a year that the PS4 would be a beast, a mighty CAL/OpenCL GPGPU, while everybody was saying the opposite "it will be a small upgrade", "they will follow the wii path", "don't expect much better graphics"
Well I'm calling it now: what we saw lately is NOTHING compared to what the system will be capable of.
Regardless of the CPU limitations, expect graphics comparable to high end PC setups except for performance; most games will be Vsynced 24p-30p. Expect 60fps rereleases of recent games though.
Ok yeah Michael Pachter sucks at predicting but your predictions were based on the edge article which nailed the reveal of the ps4; however, you were spot on in regards to kill zone 4 and watchdogs along with no backwards compatibility. Sadly I have no gummy bears to give out.