Analyst: Xbox 360 To Keep U.S. Lead Through 2009

In a presentation at the recent MI6 Game Marketing Conference, Jason Anderson, director of research for the International Development Group (IDG) revealed the research company's predictions for the near future of console sales, and Gamasutra was present to relay his intriguing predictions.

Anderson began by saying that the U.S. alone accounted for $10.2 billion in revenue, for both hardware and software this year. (Going forward, all statistics and numbers mentioned here concern the U.S. exclusively.) He pointed out a slow decline in PC retail sales, and a rise in handhelds. He then moved onto a particularly interesting topic, next-gen hardware sales.

For 2007, IDG predicts Microsoft dominance for the next two years in the North American next-gen game hardware market, at least in terms of installed base. The forecast predicts 10.6 million consoles in homes for Xbox 360, 6.8 million for PlayStation 3, and a modest 3.5 million for Wii in 2007. In 2008, Anderson suggests 15.5 million units in homes for the 360, 13.5 million for PS3, and 6.8 million for Wii. He does mention that his group expects the PS3 to win out in the installed based race in the end, perhaps in 2009.

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gamasutra.com
BOOSTIN6601d ago

funny, thats just what i predicted!

OutLaw6601d ago

This may be good news for MS. By the year 2009 when the 360 slips into second place, MS will probably be promoting their third system. What would Sony do then?

FamoAmo6601d ago

By 2009 MS will be promoting the Xbox 720 with 5d graphics.... 2010 MS will release the new console... Also 2009 is like the end of the console race...

TheMART6601d ago

Well there you go lametime/ssj

360 will be on top for the rest of it's life cycle which is 5 years. Main developping console 360. Ports go to PSZero.

For 2008 the prediction runs a little bit short though in my opinion. Already 5 million sold up till now, 10 million at the beginning of 2007 for sure. The rest of the year it must be for sure be getting the 18 million done.

I think this guy forgot to mention that untill MGS4 comes out the PSZero won't have many system sellers compared to 360 Gears of War, Forza 2, Halo 3 and so on.

Aflac6601d ago

At the rate that the system is still selling, it's more likely to have sold a little over 20million by the end of '07, beginning of '08, especially since there will most likely be a price drop sometime in '07.

The Real Deal6601d ago (Edited 6601d ago )

One Thing the annalyst aren't taking into consideration is if you have the market lead for the first 2 to 3 years...developers will choose your system and top games draw more people. So 360's market share will only increase due to more games, price drops, ect....They aren't taking that into consideration. But its nice to see annalyst budge from their initial opinion that ps3 was going to outsell the xbox 360...They finally admitted half of what will really happen...Yes 360 will lead but the lead will grow due to more games, lower pricing, and live anywhere....And yes...by the time the ps3 lowers its price to 400 dollars. The xbox 720 will be preparing a launch....Microsoft did everything right this time around.

OutLaw6601d ago

You make a very good point about the developers.

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110°

Mortal Kombat 9 Is Still NetherRealm's Best Game 13 Years Later

Salman from Tech4Gamers writes "Mortal Kombat 9 revived the series from a low point after bringing it back to 2D combat. It marked a new high-point for the franchise due to its incredible roster, exciting cinematic story mode, and high-octane combat."

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tech4gamers.com
Sonyslave320h ago

I like which ever one, Raiden was speed blasting muthafkers.

monkey6024h ago

I agree. 9 was awesome

Shaolin Monks next please

vTuro243h ago

Shaolin Monks is a forgotten gem. I would love to see a new one, or a remake of the old.

vTuro243h ago

That game was actually goated. It was the first time ever that I actually tried to get good at a fighting game. Unfortunately the online connection was so dogshit it made it hard to enjoy and eventually I gave up. Haven't really played much fighting games since.

210°

Microsoft is discounting the Xbox 360 store up to 90% before it shuts down for good

Microsoft has slashed the prices of games across the Xbox 360 store in preparation for its July 29th closure.

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videogamer.com
Tacoboto7h ago(Edited 7h ago)

The Dishwasher
Vigilante 8

Two non-BC and no-PC-version Arcade titles I downloaded recently. Dishwasher's sequel is on Steam at least.

I've also downloaded Ninety-Nine Nights II (shame the first wasn't available). I still want to download Burnout 3: Takedown before the weekend's up, though that is still the full $9.99 non-discounted price

franwex4h ago

Burnout 3 not available in modern times is a crime to humanity.

I know it’s probably due to the music licensing-though they can simply add other music as Burnout 3’s biggest flaw to me personally-is the music!!!

300°

Xbox gamers warned they've 72 hours before a ton of classic games are gone forever

The Xbox 360 Marketplace is officially shutting down in three days, which means dozens of exclusive, digital-only 360 games will no longer be available to purchase anywhere else once it does.

The Xbox 360 will be almost 20 years old next year, and to celebrate this milestone Microsoft have decided to obliterate all of its online functionality.

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gamingbible.com
shadowT12h ago

Phil Spencer: "Game preservation is critical to us at Team Xbox."

10h agoReplies(7)
darthv729h ago(Edited 9h ago)

Technically, the games ARE preserved... they are just removing the ability to purchase new games through the 360. They have to keep a full backup of every title (even delisted ones) because they will have to offer the ability to redownload purchased content to users.

I had deleted some games a few years back that had become delisted. I was able to get them back by going through my download history. The games in question were TMNT (classic and re-shelled), afterburner climax and outrun online. Im glad I was able to get those back as they are some of the best on the service.

Lightning777h ago

Well The Ultimate Alliance games have been delisted. I dunno how many old Activision games have been Delisted but MS needs to remake or remaster old Activision games and release them on Xbox and PS. I. Hope that's what they're doing right now.

They can't reserve everything but they 100% can reserve what they got or own.

Vits9h ago

Fortunately, the X360 was jailbroken a long time ago, so a good part of its library is available for download from 'alternative' sources. Still, it's a bummer to see the store going away.

Inverno7h ago(Edited 7h ago)

Dawn of The First Day
-72 Hours Remain-

Also they can keep the store up for life if they wanted.

hiawa236h ago(Edited 6h ago)

Series X for the back compat titles, and OG Xbox and X360 for those not on BC. I pretty much bought all of the digital games I want for the 360 so I am good.

anast4h ago

They are holding games hostage so people spend more money. This is some sleazy stuff.

Reaper22_3h ago

No, not telling you would be sleazy. I have a few more games to buy then I'm good. 360 was and still is a great console. Xbox is the best place to play!

anast3h ago

I'm not sure we are on the same page.

kennyg12317m ago

you guys will really defend xbox no matter what they do

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