Analyst: Xbox One will outsell PlayStation 4 at launch

"While many forecasts still give an edge to Sony/PS4 in North America sales, we continue to expect similar or even slightly higher sales of Xbox One by the end of the launch window," Sebastian told investors.

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Mystogan3266d ago

I'm an Xbox Fan and even i have to Lol at this. But next year will be a different story though..

mushroomwig3266d ago

What's happening next year?

theBAWSE3266d ago (Edited 3266d ago )


ps4 has more pre-orders

ps4 is launching in more than double the countries of xbone

is this so called 'analyst' on MICROSOFTS payroll? you have to wonder

@mystogan.. I'm with @mushroomwig,whats happening next year? or was that another waste of a bubble

Ricegum3266d ago (Edited 3266d ago )

Didn't you hear, Kinect Sports Rivals is out next year.

xHeavYx3266d ago

This guy will be teaching the class "How to make stupid predictions 101" soon

HammadTheBeast3266d ago

The rest of the first party PS4 exclusives are announced, and analysts wisen up.

Mystogan3266d ago

Titanfall will happen. Halo Will Happen. Quantum Break Will happen. nuff said..

Pogmathoin3266d ago (Edited 3266d ago )

He must be on MS books.... Anyone whos says something fanboys disagree with must be...
Love the trolls calling out trolls.... All saintly and innocent.... Me included....

gaffyh3266d ago

It says he's going by eBay listings wtf, is that serious? It's not a big leap to get to his theory based on previous history of the 360, but eBay listings?!

Sitdown3266d ago

It does not matter how many countries you launch in, but how many consoles you have available to purchase... All reports have been that Sony is pushing out more units, so by default they should sale more...... They can't even keep up with demand.

NewAgeisHere3266d ago

Next year MS will be giving away free Xbones with every Windows cause they won't sell well...xD.

GTgamer3266d ago (Edited 3266d ago )

"Titanfall will happen. Halo Will Happen. Quantum Break Will
happen. nuff said.."
Halo is gonna do as good as it always does to tbh you wont see a difference halo fans are gonna buy halo plain and simple some new adopters sure but that's it.
Quantum Break from the people who brought us alan wake good game but was nothing spectacular so i wouldnt hail it just yet maybe when you see 5 minutes of gameplay.
Titanfall that might be your only argument here tbh unless it turns out to be bad only online games tend to have a ruff start remember simcity.

Now my question is whats happening next year again?:/

Jaqen_Hghar3266d ago

uh oh. A user hasn't SEEN Titanfall!

brometheos3266d ago

Next year is big! Infamous, The Order, Driveclub, possibly some unannounced games. Idk what's happening for the xbox aside from Titanfall though.

P0werVR3266d ago

Title a bit misleading. Analyst ment the by the end of the "launch window". Which makes sense when you consider Titanfall.

pyramidshead3266d ago

@hammad nailing it

OT: I'd be surprised if it did and props to MS if it does.

NukaCola3266d ago (Edited 3266d ago )

This is inaccurate as all hell. Even if the Xbone sells out, PS4 is launching in 2.5 times more countries with more than double preorders in every location to include normally Xbox dominated US and UK. Not saying Xbox One won't do well, but by common logic shows Sony has placed the PS4 in a very huge advantage point. On top of that the more expensive PS3 caught up and out sold the 360 by almost 2 million more units after the 360's major head start. With the early release in the US, higher specs, and more affordable price, I see only huge success coming with PS4 next month.

QuickdrawMcgraw3266d ago

What's the length of a launch window?

UltimateMaster3266d ago (Edited 3266d ago )

It's official, I'm never depending on any analyst to try to predict the future.
They clearly suck at it.

assdan3266d ago

I'm pretty sure the PS4 is doing better everywhere this analyst isn't very good.

DOMination-3266d ago

Sony might be shipping to more countries but it doesn't really count when its one whole console to Brazil and a whopping three to the UAE or wherever it was. In fact that is more pathetic spin than anything MS have ever done.

Army_of_Darkness3266d ago

I think that miley syrus breaking ball video fucxked him up.. . Like, who saw that coming? !

andrewsqual3266d ago

PS3 total global sales will leave 360 sales in the dirt even more, same for PS4 too for the rest of the consoles' lives.

Seriously though if anybody has any reasons as to why Xbone could ever catch up to sales on PS4 when the last console had a year headstart and was just a tad more popular than the Xbone you might say (lol), then please, tell us why.

Narutone663265d ago

Must be the successor of Pachter, always predicting the opposite.

indysurfn3265d ago (Edited 3265d ago )

He based it on Ebay price difference. Lets test his logic with a actual example of this.
Lets look at the PS3/xbox360 launch and the ebay prices then.

When PS3 launched it was actually selling for $2,000 on ebay. What happened 6 weeks later there where plenty of stock setting on shelves, and xbox360 lead just like the prelaunch numbers told us it would.

Same will happen this time to except prelaunch numbers tell us it will be Sony's machine not just leading, but dominating.

Sarick3265d ago (Edited 3265d ago )

Maybe this.

Restrict or heavily tax the money to Japan, China and other international nations but allow domestic transactions to have different rules/limits. I added the link for reference. I'm really not sure but I know a lot of transactions will be limited in a few months. From my understanding this shouldn't affect big companies but there isn't enough to go on.

Also that big debt ceiling in USA comes up again early next year. What if these guys took it to the next level and actually defaulted. In any case a potential US dollar crash wouldn't be good for the gamers or console sales.

I'm also skeptical that GridEx II(just before PS4 launch) won't have unforeseen issues in it's simulated mass power outage of Mexico, Canada and USA.

A lot is riding on 13-17 of November 2013. Much more is going on then the launch of PS4. In all seriousness it's been hard to discuss gaming in general.

Anyway, I'm just throwing out possible issues that could happen in USA. These could seriously effect 2014 console sales etc. Lets try and look at the bigger picture of what's going on in the world. It's simply not all cookies and cream.

Send me a Private PM instead of a comment reply please I don't want this to go off topic any more my discussing these issues directly.

SilentNegotiator3265d ago

"Quantum Break Will happen"

It's so cute when fanboys pretend to know anything about Quantum Break or Order 1886 or some other game with no gameplay previews or predecessor.

mikeslemonade3265d ago


3.7 million PS3s sold by the end of the year
2.4 million X1s sold by the end of the year

warczar3265d ago (Edited 3265d ago )


For your information Gameinformer just did a 12 page article on "the Order" so there is plenty of info out there on that. It's so cute when the users of the word "fanboy" act like they know anything at all.

+ Show (27) more repliesLast reply 3265d ago
vishmarx3266d ago

poor disguise troll.
it most likely will outsell ps4 at launch simply because its got more games.come feb-march and it will never catch up to the ps4 in its lifetime

Triella3266d ago (Edited 3266d ago )

No it's just a question of logic : Xbox One will outsell PS4 at launch but only because the latter comes first in the US and later in Europe while Xbox One as only one launch date inbetween. But by PS4 european launch everything will get back to normal.

And I can easily predict that by December 31st Sony will have sold more than double what MS will = 3 million vs 1.3~1.4 million.

3265d ago
MarkusMcNugen3265d ago

Yeah, fanboys get out of control but you are just as much of the problem as the xbox fanboys. You just equated an Xbox One to a $500 VCR which is just stupid, and then claim the PS4 will have a better online experience which is subjective at best. Not to mention you insinuate that Xbox One doesn't have any launch exclusives.

To sum up, its people like you who are the problem.

Blaze9293266d ago (Edited 3266d ago )

i dont get why a bunch of n4g gamers and nobodies think they know better than someone who's job it is to know this and get paid for it? Apparently from Microsoft's payroll too (lol)

I mean, maybe he's right juuuuust maybe? I wouldn't know, not my job. But you all seem so sure LOL. please, go.

theBAWSE3266d ago

Yeh because his paid he must know what his talking about considering his analysis comes predominantly from.... EBay!!!!

but why would I expect any different from you calling people nobodies... throwing stones from his mother's glass basement..

Death3266d ago

The author was using ebay markup as a way to guage demand. The Xbox One is getting 60% markup to PS4's 50%. Taking a quick look at ebay it looks like both see an average of $250 mark up in buy it nows. This is actually the opposite of what the author found. The fluctuation in PS4 prices is much greater with some asking much higher prices than I seen for Xbox One.

In short from what I can see and what the author seen it is pretty clear using ebay as a way to guage demand is stupid at best. Either he shouldn't be paid for that analysis or I should. I'm leaning towards neither of us should be paid for looking on ebay. Props to him for getting a check and me being stuck living in my moms glass basement. Thank god she took my bucket of rocks I found on the beach away.

kneon3266d ago

And why do you think this analyst knows better than all the other analysts that see the market going the other way?

AceBlazer133266d ago

Economics is usually common sense that's why most of us can call bs on this claim. and do you think that the people on this site are jobless ? wouldn't be surprised if some n4gers are analysts themselves

Bigpappy3266d ago

N4G fanboys will jump to point out that PS4 is selling in more countries, when the guy is actually and obviously only predicting North America. I agree with him by the way, not necessarily for day one, but by year end. The holiday season will be huge for M$ if they can match demand. Casuals will be the huge difference makers, and will go heavily for Xbox features.

Destrania3266d ago

And I don't get how someone can be such an idiot, but yet here we are.

Gamingcapacity3266d ago

Casuals will jump on the consoles with the lowest price. The only thing that will sway the mass casual audience is the huge advertising campaigne that MS will most likely have (bigger than Sony for sure)

This could even itself out with similar sales on both platforms in NA. Rest of the world will be Sony.

Hicken3266d ago

There are millions of people who have jobs and are inept at them. This guy is one of them. And there are millions of "nobodies" around the world that can do his job better. I imagine quite a few of them are on N4G.

Pope_Kaz_Hirai_II3266d ago

Lol blaze just lol i will leave it at that fml.

mistertwoturbo3265d ago (Edited 3265d ago )

Anybody with any tiny itty bitty miniscule bit of knowledge on the games industry knows that based on the entire year since the PS4 has been announced combined with the constant barrage of negative news and image of the Xbone one ANNNNNNNNNDDDDDDDD the $100 cheaper price point on the PS4, pre-order numbers from all the retailers, praise from both developers and consumers on the PS4 hardware, ALLLLLLLLL points to the PS4 outselling the Xbone...

You'd be the absolute most ignorant analyst in the entire world to think otherwise.

rainslacker3265d ago

Thing is for every analyst that gets paid to do this sort of thing, you can find another analyst who gets paid to do this sort of thing and they will say the complete opposite.

They may be right, they may be wrong. Does it really matter?

badz1493265d ago


that's just dumb. two words, Michael...Pachter...

and if he's anything to go by, should know the rest!

and this is based on eBay?? WTF HOLY FAIL BBQ!

+ Show (9) more repliesLast reply 3265d ago
Mr Pumblechook3266d ago ShowReplies(3)
RAGE913266d ago

Thats the thing. Once its sold in the 13 regions it has right now, and is released in all other regions it equals more sales

ovnipc3266d ago

I agree. Im getting the x1 at lunch but stil ps4 wilk sell more. When ps4 get more exclusives then i jump in to ps4. This guy its wrong ps4 will sell 2:1.

Kurt Russell3265d ago

I'm getting a tuna sandwich at lunch.

hello123266d ago

I ordered my X Box 1 day one edition at gamestop September 3th. But anyways i was on the gamestop page the other day for XB1.

And gamestop had a notice up in blue writing. Preorders after 5th of September is not guaranteed at launch after this date!

This either means there sold out two months before November or there is not enough XB1'S out there for everyone on launch date.

I think the PS4 will sell lot more consoles at launch, mind you, but Microsooft is not struggling to sell their console.

clewis943266d ago

@Mystogan You forget PS4 has Infamous, DriveClub, The Order 1866 plus maybe Naughty Dogs new game at the end of the year.

Real_gamer3265d ago

Drive club u mean ridge racer ? Infamous sucks like rest of it they used to make it's not all about graphics it's about gameplay and story too the order 1866 bloody hell there is too many horror games coming out so who cares about it evil within will be better than the order and next time make sure Sony dev not gonna try steal gears of war gameplay for the order lol

warczar3265d ago (Edited 3265d ago )

can someone help me decipher what the real gamer is trying to say here? ^^

Magicite3266d ago

PS4 is launching before X1, so how can it be outsold?

T-Dawg63266d ago (Edited 3266d ago )

It's releasing 7 days before the Xbox One... It won't make much of a difference

pompombrum3266d ago

Both consoles will probably sell out before Christmas. At that point, you can't really boast about who is out selling who. A fairer idea would be come E3 next year when both consoles should be on the shelves, then you can judge who is outselling who.

HugoDrax3265d ago (Edited 3265d ago )

"A fairer idea would be come E3 next year when both consoles should be on the shelves"

Not with TitanFall & InFamous on shelves...

-Infamous = FEB 2014?
-TitanFall = MARCH 11, 2014 (This is a console seller, regardless if it's on X360 & PC)

E3 2014 = JUNE 10-12,2014

irepbtown3265d ago

Your first sentence makes no sense.

Example: If I have 10 doughnuts and sell them all, you have 5 doughnuts and sell them all, who will have the bragging rights?

I reckon they'll both sell out before Christmas, however based on pre-order, PS4 will have sold more (assuming it continues to outsell the competition).

hellzsupernova3266d ago

I can see the xbone outselling the playstation at launch I really can thanks to Microsoft ability to spend billions on advertising where Sony can't
Plus America is still xbox territory.

irepbtown3265d ago

I may be wrong, but isn't PS4 ahead on pre-orders even in America?

solar3266d ago


Anzil3266d ago

Ya when sony releases uncharted 4 and all the other games they got comin!

avengers19783266d ago

The guy specifically says in North America, not actually saying he's right, but there is a pretty good chance of that happening. I'm from ohio and there are lots of Xbox fans around here.

iiwii3265d ago

Not everybody in America rides Microsoft. I have 12 local gaming friends who all are on PS3 and will be moving to PS4 this gen.

Agent13266d ago

We can all predict and speculate, but the truth comes out once the consoles release next month. Only then shall the actual facts stare us at he face.

MRMagoo1233265d ago

Thats right guys you heard it here on N4G, even tho the ps4 is selling in double the countries with probably double the allotted consoles, the xbone will somehow sell more, just ignore the polls from every single web site that has ever done one and how there is over 2 times the amount of ppl getting a ps4, the xbone will sell more.

This ANALyst needs a new job i think, and i thought patcher was bad lol.

Logic seems to fail this man pretty badly.