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Next-gen Xbox Rumors: Finding Reason in Madness

Well....that just happened.

If you've been living under a rock in past few days, let me go ahead and explain the situation that's been spewing out literally everywhere online.

In a discussion between two individuals, Microsoft Studio’s Creative Director, Adam Orth, decided to voice his opinion on 'always-on' devices. Without explicitly attaching his claim to an unannounced next-gen Xbox, the damage was done and the internet mob, with hands held high of torches and pitch-forks, came knocking and assumed the worst.

Now, hear me out. I'm not going to tell anyone what opinion he or she should have formed from such a fallout of epic proportions, but I do have several things of which I'd like to share with you.

In a sea of conflicting rumors, the one rumor that has managed to gain the most and enduring attention is as follows: In a nut-shell, the rumor describes the process by which the next-gen xbox functions. An internet connection, supposedly, is required at all times for the player to have access to his or her game. If the internet goes out, then bam, your xbox is useless (for both multi-player and offline play).

You can see why this is controversial...
Now, let's attempt to assess and reassess the situation. There's always a little reason to be found in situations of madness.

Let's say that you do believe this certain rumor but you want to be completely sure of yourself. Well, nobody can do that until the official reveal, but you can form a good opinion, educated and well-formulated rather than just screaming out "microsoft has lost, ps4thewin."

Not too long ago, Microsoft had announced the sale/shipment of over 75 million Xbox 360 units and over 40 million Xbox Live members, silver and gold. Now, you have to pay a little closer attention to those Xbox Live members in comparison to the total Xbox 360 units sold. If you do the math, that's essentially a 1.875 : 1 ratio (consoles sold to Xbox live members).
Now, that's a pretty significant gap, isn't it? Almost half of Microsoft's Xbox 360's customers aren't Xbox Live members. Breaking that down, you can guess that a good number of the customers don't care to play online or don't have an internet connection- and that's almost HALF of Xbox 360 owners.

Microsoft knows these stats. They tout these numbers all the time and they know this fact. If you truly believe that Microsoft is dead-set on making their next Xbox have the 'always-online' requirement to even just play games, you need to ask yourself something:

Do I think Microsoft, who knows that important ratio I mentioned above, is stupid enough to do something like this and potentially lose approximately half of their customers?

If anything, this 'always-online' feature can have several interpretations, yet we are focusing on just one. The feature could be somewhat similar to Sony PS4's low-power sleep mode or it could be referring to maintaining connection to Xbox Live at all times to avoid logging in everytime you turn it on, even when your Xbox is switched off (as someone earlier pointed out).

The nature of these rumors should also tell you something. None of the rumors exactly matches up to any other given rumor. Either the majority of the rumors are just plain false or the developers who have been given the durango kits are confused on which features constitute as developer-exclusive and which ones may be reserved for consumer units.

Anyways, that's what I wanted to share with everyone. Please, feel free to disagree and comment below.
Thanks for reading and your time.


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SilentNegotiator1874d ago

Between the possible leaked documents, dev comments, feverish defense from Orth, etc....I think this rumor is a little more likely than your run of the mill random rumor.

flyingmunky1874d ago

It does seem to hold more weight that the typical run of the mill rumor. The fact that it has so many sources also lends credence. I'm still going to consider it with a huge grain of salt though, I just can't imagine any company willing to make that poor of a decision.

caseh1873d ago

Sony actually own the patent for preventing pre-owned games but never used it despite the 'rumours' being confimred upon this patent being discovered.

I just see it as Orth stating a personal opinion, he has no issue with a console being 'always online', sadly its been taken to the extreme becuase he works at MS (worked? :0). M$ had to step up to prevent the media believing this guy is leaking unspoken truths but sadly its gone the opposite way. M$ speaking up apparently confirms what Orth says now relates to the Nextbox *groan*. The internet, its what started WW2 dontcha know.

Gamer-401874d ago (Edited 1874d ago )

Always-online, blocked used games, weak console than ps4..
Man, i dont understand.
Why make this Microsoft? Why?

lastofgen1874d ago

assuming all the rumors are true....

Gamer-401874d ago

Yes, i think, all the rumors are true.

lastofgen1874d ago (Edited 1874d ago )

alright, well...I'll hold you to that, especially the ones about blocked games and this 'always online' requirement to play games.

when ms announces their next xbox, we'll meet again.

MrBeatdown1874d ago (Edited 1874d ago )

You're not looking at the whole picture.

Yeah, there is a big discrepancy between people who connect their Xbox, and the number of 360s sold. But that's not all Microsoft would be looking at.

Always-online would not be implemented, or even considered without good reason. For any feature that makes it into the next Xbox, MS will consider the pros and cons. You only addressed the downside here, but that's not the full picture. You're overlooking what MS may see as a benefit of an always online requirement.

The most obvious potential use of an always-on connection would be to prevent piracy and eliminate used games. MS knows the relevant numbers. We don't.

Profit is obviously the motivation behind Xbox Live subscriptions. If they were concerned about subscriber numbers or install base, they wouldn't throw a big, money-making block in front of the gates.

If Microsoft can make that kind of profit-driven decision, which clearly comes at the expense of the user base, it's far from unrealistic to expect they would, at the very least, consider the same approach when it comes to the actual console itself.

Fact is, only Microsoft's number crunchers have an idea of how beneficial or harmful an always-on requirement would be to the business.

Neko_Mega1873d ago

Only time will tell if Microsoft is going to shoot themselfs in the foot or make a good console.

I wait to hear from Microsoft to know whats true, because sometimes people can twist words around.

IlluminatusV1872d ago

I think this blog entry gives a balanced view of that case. It is a positive example of arguing instead of downplay other opinions without facts behind it. I am not saying that he is right because we are all speculating until MS announced the console but he tries to see a bigger picture.