Submitted by ssb3173 973d ago | opinion piece

Will the Next-Gen Consoles Fail?

There is nothing like a console launch to crackle the synapses and thrill the blood. For those who love games, the anticipation of a fresh arrival is an adventure in its own right, a grand hunt across the meadows of speculation and rumor and conjecture.

At the end, we expect to find a great prize, a world-changing event like PlayStation 2 and Wii. We don't set out to corner some miniscule market like GameCube or Saturn. There is a certain necessary suspension of reality, a compact that all consoles are desirable and noble, at least until they are actually in our hands and have an opportunity to confound our faith.

So it comes as a shock when predictions arrive that the next generation – PlayStation 4, Xbox 720 and Wii U – will perform poorly. This week, one analyst stated that the next Nintendo machine will sell only a third as well as the last, while both Microsoft and Sony's consoles will only manage about half as much as the current generation. (Next-Gen, Wii U)

NYC_Gamer  +   974d ago
I believe next gen consoles will be more successful.....i'm sure that the big 3 will adapt to the market and expand with more social features/apps...the casual crowd will play a major part in the growth of the install base along side us core gamers....
#1 (Edited 974d ago ) | Agree(8) | Disagree(8) | Report | Reply
StrongMan  +   974d ago
If you think the casual crowd that bought Kinect will drop $400-$500 for new hardware you'd better think again.
LOGICWINS  +   974d ago
They will if its marketed correctly. Btw, I doubt anyone is crazy enough to release at anything over $399 this time around.
ElementX  +   974d ago
People drop money for a new iPhone every 6 months, those are the original casual crowds along with FB gamers
#1.1.2 (Edited 974d ago ) | Agree(10) | Disagree(4) | Report
StrongMan  +   974d ago

That's different. Phones are a necessity, video game consoles are not. Smart phones are basically little computers in your pocket. We all use them everyday and all day. Consoles, not so much. Bad comparison. Can't take a console around with me everywhere to call my family and friends or check my emails. Really bad comparison, dude.
ChunkyLover53  +   973d ago
There probably wont be a $500 console, and I'm guessing Sony and Microsoft will continue to market current consoles to the more casual gamers, even after the next iterations are out.

Consoles should do fine as long as they are priced right, have some quality launch games and are accessible.
#1.1.4 (Edited 973d ago ) | Agree(5) | Disagree(1) | Report
LOGICWINS  +   973d ago
"People drop money for a new iPhone every 6 months, those are the original casual crowds along with FB gamers"

Just because people drop money frequently on one thing doesn't mean they will automatically be willing to spend on something else.

By your logic, $300 Sony Ericsson phones should be selling like hotcakes since people buy new $600 iphones every six months right?

herp derp
manman6  +   973d ago
@StrongMan But buying a new phone every few month is really not that necessary. Apple just knows how marketed they products that make you think you are getting the next big thing.
CarlitoBrigante  +   973d ago
I think WiiU will fail, its a novelty

I think nextbox will fail too, since they will focus only on Kinect

PS4 will please both the casuals and hardcore gamers.

Long Live Play!
Stop   972d ago | Spam
raymantalk1  +   972d ago
the only thing MS are the masters of is spending loads of money on marketing and that is all to be a master of marketing is to spend your money wisely not spending 500 million or more advertising one product, sony may spend allot less on there marketing but they spend it more wisely and they put what money do have in making new products to go with there console not third parties nintendo do the same, sony's only problem seems to be there tv division which they need to sort out quickly.

and dont get me wrong i like my xbox but there is much wider variety of quality games on my ps3 if MS wants to be a master then they should make more first party games and not kinect ones.
LOL_WUT  +   972d ago
I think only the PS4 and the Nextbox will do good, but i agree with you about the WiiU.
Sgt_Slaughter  +   972d ago
If you think Nintendo will fail, you got another thing coming. Nintendo is the reason we have the current console generation the way it is... well mainly the strong market share of sales anyway. They single-handed-ly saved the gaming industry after the Gaming Crash of 1983 or 84 with the NES. If Nintendo fails, then the gaming community will slowly start to crash again.
DeadlyFire  +   972d ago
You know this only became an issue when games were hiked up to $60 bucks a piece.

I think its about time we see that go back to $50 bucks a piece personally.

I do expect Sony to do better next gen. This gen certainly has been a pain to buy into, but next generation should be easier to get access + more PSN features, easier cheaper game development, and other things all look promising from a concept.

Nintendo I don't know. All depends on if they chose crap hardware or semi-decent okish hardware. If crap I am not buying.

Microsoft. I expect to either push for some new ips or lose some of its crowd to Nintendo/Sony next gen. Xbox Live is nice, but its like sex. If its free elsewhere with less expense. Its more likely you will aim for that. There will be two Online services to face XBL next gen. So something might change.
tdogchristy90  +   974d ago
I would actually agree on a hardware standpoint. Software idk. This past gen was unique with HD and the casuals buying into Wii, netflix, web etc. The only company that has really been able to constantly see consumers upgrade is apple. I just don't see the masses upgrading like they did this last gen unless it's leaps ahead and I just don't see it happening cause we are slowly hitting a wall of sorts. People seem satisfied. Again last gen was just kind of unique and I don't see the same next gen. Sure consoles will survive but they just won't see the same popularity.
PopRocks359  +   974d ago
Sony and Microsoft survived for quite some time on the core market alone. I think from here on out if any of the big hardware producers bring out gaming hardware, they should focus on the core audience first and casual audience second. Nintendo learned the hard way that the casual crowd is not a particularly loyal one.
ozzywazzy  +   973d ago
Whether they actually learned is something to be seen. Good points on the casuals and core crowds. The casuals will follow trends hence the momentum going into the Wii, this time around I suspect a very different scenario. Nintendo would benefit by catering to the people that made them the company they are.
linkratos  +   973d ago
I'm gonna have to give Nintendo the benefit of the doubt considering in the past they have always catered to the consumers that made them what they are. And I know they made tons of money on the Wii, but I think it's apparent to them that they need to continually provide their core audience with games because they finally lost money for the first time in 30 years.

Remember, Nintendo intentionally went with a weak console to capitalize on the arms race between Sony and Microsoft. There is no reason that they will still be a gen behind, every gen is a clean slate. Idk why people keep saying they will always be a gen behind because of one intentioanlly underpowered console.
Hicken  +   972d ago
catering to the people that made them the company they are
+Bubbles. That's all I want the gaming companies to do: don't forget the people that let you survive long enough to tap into the casual crowd craze in the first place.
Ochuncks   974d ago | Spam
DeadSpaced  +   973d ago
I personally believe what could possibly make or break the systems will be the games available on release day. If we find ourselves in a nice mix of casual and hardcore games, they'll be set. (As long as the prices aren't fatal to my wallet.)
iigameu  +   973d ago
Lol yea, streetpass for wii u...ive had my 3ds for 6 months now...havnt got 1 yet!!! Lol live by a city too!!! Kinda suks, cause i would lile toi woul like o use the feature :/
DNAbro  +   972d ago
u turned it on right?
NastyLeftHook0  +   973d ago
this is really a deep opportunity for next gen consoles to amaze with unique specs and features on said hardware.
stragomccloud  +   973d ago
I don't think they will perform as well as this generation. Though I believe that they will all be successful.
Flatbattery  +   973d ago
I get the impression that so called journalists and analysts want them to fail, unless of course there is one made by Apple.
#9 (Edited 973d ago ) | Agree(10) | Disagree(1) | Report | Reply
PopRocks359  +   973d ago
Some of the big tech-heads out there have their heads wedged pretty far up Apple's bunghole. The idea of Apple monopolizing the gaming market is horrifying to me.

I like my Zelda on my 3DS just as I like my Gears of War on my Xbox. If they had to be played on an iPad or some similar device, I'd probably find myself a new hobby.
Flatbattery  +   973d ago
Couldn't agree more, personally I believe that the only thing Apple is ahead of the game at is marketing. I can always find better, cheaper and more open tech elsewhere.
#9.1.1 (Edited 972d ago ) | Agree(6) | Disagree(0) | Report
NastyLeftHook0  +   973d ago
cant wait for the wii u, im a big nintendo fan.
Dms2012  +   972d ago
Maybe, but I do know that this article does.
Brettman2008  +   972d ago
I think there is a lot of pent up demand for new consoles based on the long life of the current gen. Which will, in my opinion, suggest big sales of the consoles for the first few years or so at least. Overall, I think sales will be comparable to the current gen as they shouldn't really be affected by social gaming (tablets/smart phones etc) as they just don't have usable control systems compared to consoles or provide the same experience (big screen viewing/surround sound etc). Think that hand helds will be more affected.
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PygmelionHunter  +   972d ago
Yes, yes they will, and so will PC gaming, portable console gaming and smartphone/tablet gaming. Like, please, we all know that calculators are gonna take over i mean, ptsss.
theeg  +   972d ago
it's failing right now by not being out yet, a lot of people are migrating to the splendor that is pc gaming.
PopRocks359  +   972d ago
Good thing there's a cheap alternative then, eh?
Ck1x  +   972d ago
I think Sony and Microsoft are in an interesting position. The switch from ps2/xbox to ps3/360 was the garner of technical prowess, bluray and HD gaming. So how can Sony and Microsoft market new HD machines to replace the old unless they introduce something radically different to what they currently offer. Not to mention the fact that both consoles are still selling fairly well to!
Samus HD  +   972d ago
totally agree, I mean nintendo has advantage because they still aren't HD and are a little steps back. But still it will be interestin watching what ps/ms will do

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