Not this year, not next year… but soon - almost certainly by the next decade.
"#1. Their business model is a dead-end. - Back when Microsoft first started business in 1980, software as a commodity was still a fuzzy concept. Computers, themselves, were flying off the shelves, and of course you bought game cartridges for game consoles, but what little computer software was being sold in the early 1980's was worth a few dollars at the most. And then came "Micro-soft" - a BASIC interpreter on a floppy disk in a zip-lock plastic baggy! But somehow, it caught on. "