Games.net look to the future and examine the life-expectancy of current-gen consoles and the cancerous march of technology that inevitably dooms them.
very good read
all i have to say HD wii or Wii HD
This is whats stopping from getting a 360 because i might ask one for christmast this year just for halo 3 but i dont wanna get one if it just going to last for another 2 years, i rather get the new ipod touch, but with ps3 they are making sure its going to last for atleast 7 years.
"On average, every console's life has been to the tune of about four to seven years. The Plastation was released in '95 and was succeed by the PS2 in 2000. The Playstation 2 was succeeded by the Playstation 3 in 6 years despite continuing sales of the PS2."
Yes but the ps1 was still made/supported while the ps2 came out.
Just because a new systems comes out, it doesnt mean the old one just dies. When your parents gave birth to you, did they just magically die?
PSX was still being supported well into 2004. It was around 2004 when I would say it officially died, just after its last big game- Madden 2005. That would mean it was supported for eight years.
That made me laugh nice work
I see no justification for the notion that the Xbox 360 will live as long as the PlayStation 3 specifically from a hardware point of view, or even come close to it.
Based on MS's past actions, there will be a new XBOX in 2 years. The 360 will be absolutely dead at that time.
Disagree all you want, look at XBOX1.
from a financial point of view thats a terrible idea
but for the hardcore gamer (like me, most on this site) MS releasing a new console in 2-3 years is awesomeeeee
i have a launch 360 and ive never had a problem with it...but..after Halo 3..i would gladly toss it to get MS's next console
I think somewhere down the line we'll see some form of an HD Wii..."Wii Elite," as the case may be, though Nintendo will probably offer 2 models: A standard Wii, and the HD-capable one.
Lesson learned from this gen: Capturing the casual market shouldn't come at the expense of those who want HD in their system.
360's lifetime depends on whether MS wants to support it better than the original Xbox...in a few years, will the 720 (or whatever it will be called) be on the market at the expense of the 360?
Hope not. Imagine sustaining the 360 beyond the new system at a $149 or less price point, which would give a lot of people a chance to enjoy it, even late in its life cycle. Think about it: The PS2 still sells very, very well, for two major reasons: Thousands of games, and the right price for the casual market. MS could learn from that. Let's hope they do.
Lesson learned from this gen: Design your next system better.
I don't think the PS3 will be a "10-year" system on its own, as has been stated a number of times by Sony. I think they'll have a new system on the market in 5-6 years, which is usually the industry standard. But I think the PS3 ends up with 10 years of total support, much like the PS1 did and the PS2 will.
Lesson learned from this gen: Next time, Sony, don't alienate the casual market with a ridiculous price point.
That's what it means when they say "life cycle". It doesn't mean there will be no other console until the PS3 is officially discontinued, but that - like the PS2 now - Sony will continue to manufacturer it and developers will continue to develop for it whilst they work on PS4 titles.
Why are people always saying that the PS3 has a 10 year life and the 360 not? Yeah there will probably be a 720 around 2011-2012, but this time the 360 is doing much better than the original xbox. who says they wont continue selling the 360 into next gen? Anyway i like having a new console every 5 or so years. Even if i bought the PS3 now i would buy the PS4 in 5 years. Its just with the PS3's price it aint so easy and i really dont see it offering anything more in terms of gaming experience at the moment.
I find it hard to believe MS will keep on the 360 for very long. After all, they said it would take to their 3rd generation to make a profit, and come 2009, after the 360 has been out for 4 years, some new technology is going to be looking really good to them. I seriously doubt the 360 lives more than 6 years.
Nintendo won't be jumping the gun in 2011, 5 years after the Wii, when they make a new console. 1986, NES. 1991, SNES. 1996, N64. 2001, GC. 2006, Wii. Nintendo has always had a 5 year life cycle, so how would it be jumping the gun if they stick to it?
That beind said, the PS3 can't last 10 years if MS and Nintendo (or maybe just one) gets out another console that is better. Say Nintendo sticks to the 5 year life cycle. In 2011, even if Nintendo wants to make a console they can sell for $200 and make a profit, its going to be looking pretty good compared to the PS3, with the rate at which costs drop in technology.
No console out there right now will be going strong in 10 years, because even if Sony, MS, and Nintendo all want to keep their consoles out that long (and as I have said, I don't think it's Nintendo's intendtion to do that anyway), someone will have low sales and blink, bring out a new console that is far superior to the competitors, and people will start buying it.
Their Product, an your Electric Bill! lol
Somewhere between 3 months and 13 months with 95% of probability. That's going by the life expectancy definition of life insurance. Then again, by my own experience... I just lost today my third Xbox 360, and I've had (theoretically) 14 months with (unless you don't count the waiting times for new Xboxes, and you don't count owning an Xbox 360 multiple times as a single console lifetime). That is, 14 months after I got the first Xbox 360 as a present. The first one died after two-three months. The second one after one month. The third one, this one, actually lasted a lot, so I thought it had the heatsink.
That's what life expectancy means. Unless you're talking about "product life cycle", which is entirely something else (I hate how people use terms they don't understand). Anyway, Microsoft says the life cycle of its Xbox 360 will be about 7 years... but again, by life insurance definitions, which rely on statistics, which relies on past experience... 5 years (That's three more) would sound a little bit optimistic.
any of these console going for the long haul. But if anyone could do it successfully, it would be Sony. The PS3 isnt even close to being tapped and even in 2008 Devs will just be getting to know the guts and really show some of what the PS3 can do but I still think they will be scraping the surface well into 2009-2010 before finally utilizing most of its potential. Sony still needs to get some more games though and also do more quality checkin b4 they start running their mouths about how great this and that is. I expected HS and Lair to be beast form how they touted them as killer apps. Still, i see better days ahead.
I love Nintendo and I'm hoping they are the ones who Jump ship early. The Wii has been selling like... like... Fock it!!! Its selling like the Wii and thats been craaaaaaaaazy!!! The thing really is a Money machine and I read an interview where Miyamato said that he wanted the price point for the Wii to be a 100 bucks so I'm sure Nintendo is more than doubling their profit on each Wii they sale. Nintendo should support the Wii NO LONGER than 4 years and then be the first out the next gen gate While the Nintendo name and popularity is hotter than fish grease. But this time be on some REAL Next Generation Shiyat. Lord knows they have made enough money to do something really major if they wanted to.
Microsoft. I dont see these guys even coiming close to the 7 years they talkin about. By mid to late 2008 the Xbox360 games arent gonna look as hot as they do now when compared to Sonys upcoming games. Further more the technology is already starting to suffer. Blue Dragon on 3 disc??? c'mon man! thats PS1 type Shiyat. My Xbox360 bros are quick to say So what!.. its no big deal!!! but it is a big deal. Its an area that MS didnt put much thought into. Couple that with a potential billion dollars worth of bricked 360's and you have to wonder how much MS planned for anything aside being the first to splash into the next generation wave. I truly believe that Epic tapped most of its(360) potential with Gears of War and nothing present nor forthcoming looks as good as Gears does, not even close. Bioshock is a Beautiful Game but still falls short of GOW in visuals. MS better pay off as many people as they can to make botched PS3 ports of Multi plats like Madden and lock up as many exclusives as they can because when Sony starts dropping titles like Metal Gear and Final Fantasy... People are going to see what the PS3 is capable off and those will just be 2nd Gen PS3 games. As far as i can see.. MS is in for the roughest ride of them all.
Factor 5 says they only got about 20% out of the cell. Even if killzone gets 80% out of the cell, they will still have years to optimise the build code and game engines. In 5 years PS3 will be beautiful, loaded with games, and cheap.
Xbox 720 will have all new hardware that will cost ALOT of money, being Microsoft as only a software company. They will have to pay for all the parts and chips.
Sony on the other hand owns the rights to the cell, so in 6 years they could build PS4 with a very fast 64 core cell with a 200gig blueray drive or whatever. Saving loads of money for them and us gamers.
The 360 has no life expectancy. Remember, a dead 360 plays no games and that is not much fun....
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