Generally, forum posts are dubious and not newsworthy. Unless a forum post is written by a known industry insider or offers some exclusive information or rumor, it should never be reported to N4G.com.
However, a particular post about Xbox 360 price cuts seems to have some degree of merit. Two-to-three days before Joystiq leaked the Circuit City flyer photos that announced the mult-tier price cut, a post in a NeoGAF forum post had correctly reported the unusual $20, $30 and $50 separate price cuts for the Core, Elite, and Premium models. That is an amazing prediction that has turned out to be correct.
However, that is not all to the post. Here is the forum post in its entirety:
"Originally posted by artredis1980 on July 29, 2007:
I have it coming from a reliable source that CURRENTLY
The Core will drop to 279
The Premium will drop to 349
The Elite will drop to 449
This will clear out the inventory of the Premium which is the most manufactured 360 and the most sold as they know Premium will sell the most until the demand for Elites pick up in 2008. Elites and Cores have relatively the same manufacturing percentage: low at the moment until FALL this year.
When the 65 nm processor falcons are introduced across all SKUs, the holiday season, a month or so after Halo 3 will see the core drop to $249, The Premium will drop to $299 and the Elite will drop to $399
The Core, Premium and Elite Falcons will have a redesigned motherboard which includes HDMI across all SKUs, a quieter DVD Drive and the falcons will STILL have an extra fan heatsink as Microsoft is not prepared to take anymore risks.
The Falcon will reduce the cost to manufacture the Xbox 360 CPU and GPU by ~40-50% but Microsoft will incure additional costs on the new fans and HDMI across all SKUs. Still at the 249,299 and 399 price, Microsoft will expect a profit from the console by early 2008 when the Q4 results are announced."
(End of the forum post.)
Of course, even though the forum post had correctly reported the unusual multi-tier price cut two-to-three days before the leak of the Circuit City flyer, it is still a forum post. So please take it with a grain of salt.
Note: the story image is not an actual price cut.