IG: Fellow analyst Jesse Divnich recently wrote an op-ed for IG about why PlayStation Move will succeed. He seems to be more bullish on the motion controller than most people, whereas you seem to think Natal will perform far better sales-wise. Now that we've all seen Move at GDC, have you altered your opinion on Sony's product?
Pachter: My projection for Natal outselling Move is based upon something Microsoft told me in May, 2009--that Natal would be packed into the box for every Xbox 360 sold after its launch. They may have changed their minds, but I understood them to plan for a "forced" bundle. Recent rumors of the Xbox 360 Slim support the concept of a Natal bundle, since Natal plus software could cost $60 - 80. If they can cut the production cost of the 360 by $50 with a slim version, they could afford to bundle Natal into the box at the same $299 price point, and I think that they would sell millions of these a year for the next few years.