Industry analyst David Cole has predicted that by 2011 the combined market share of the assorted handheld gaming platforms will be greater than that held by the combined market share of home console platforms.
OPEN YOUR EYES
It looks like anyone can say whatever they please now days. we need to start calling out people. show em quotes they said in the past and tell em to STFU
Is it not possible that this could happen? Look at the adoption of laptop computers over desktops. People looking for an every man PC solution will more often than not go for a laptop whereas desktops are becoming a niche hardware line for harcore PC gamers, designers and sound engineers.
As soon as the technology is cheap enough I think that we will see a gaming solution that does both. Sure you will be able to link your console to your HD/Holo set but crucially when you leave the house you will be able to take your device with you and play it via it's own in built screen.
Sounds far fetched at present but there are already UMPCs that can easily handle the likes of F.E.A.R. I for one would not rule out some sort of convergence that sees the handheld market encroach on home console technology so as to supplant a large portion of the home console market share.
Sure laptops have been gaining market share for a while but the desktop is still king last time I looked. Really I feel gaming systems are a very different monster used for very different activities. Just because they can get some work, play, and relaxing done with a laptop doesn't mean that a gaming system that's primary use is for recreation will dominate the market. A larger market share? Sure. Dominate? No.
As long as they don't consider smart phones, pda's, and all the other gadgets as hand held gaming I don't think it'll happen for a while. Maybe in the year 2020
As much fayboyism and hate that comes across on this site, we are all considered "hardcore". We are the ones who really know what is going on in the industry.
The general, uninformed public is where the big money is at - and they don't read online reviews or look for release dates - they just buy what looks good at retail. I'm referring to the Wii crowd. I'm not bashing the Wii, but most people who buy it are not aware that the games have been pretty disappointing critically, and that there is a vast amount of time until some of the desired titles are coming out.
Plus, the casual gamer is much less discriminating than us - they do not have the same standards for a game to be fun. Heck, I used to be this way. I once thought Army Men was a blast with its Toy Story-like environment! Its not a bad thing - its just that we have more sophistocated tastes. There's something to be said for that. If my food tastes ever got so "sophistocated" that I couldn't enjoy a chicken fried steak and mashed potatoes, it'd be a travesty. I hope I'm making sense. Some of the next-gen games are like an exotic meal to the general public - they just don't "get" it. Take Ninja Gaiden for example - it is a masterpiece of an action/adventure/fighting game. But the general public wouldn't give it more than 10 minutes before giving up and playing Dynasty Warriors, and who are we to say they are "wrong" for preferring to button-mash? If they are having fun, who cares? Sometimes, I think we(I)can get a bit snobby about gaming, and I'm sure I'm not the only one around here with a bit of an ego. ;)
Its the same with the DS - the DS Lite is a sexy little piece of hardware - I actually own one. But the vast majority of DS owners are not hardcore gamers.
You've got to hand it to Nintendo. They realize the industry cannot support three high end consoles, so they got creative and are smiling all the way to the bank!
Like 75-80% of gamers are just casual gamers not HARDCORE like us here on the site so It could very well be possible for Handhelds to dominate in the future BUT I say forget that because I will be HARDCORE 4 LIFE BABY!
The hard-core bug has bitten me, and there's no going back!
I guess you could call me one of those freaks that actually prefers gaming on a handheld vs. a home console... My roommate has been calling me a weirdo for this for years... ;-)
Personally, I can't wait to see what the next generation of handhelds will be like. I'm hoping that Nintendo puts out something more powerful than the PSP (I'm thinking portable gamecube... That would be incredibly SWEEEEEET).
And Sony... Don't get me started on the PSP... I've had mine since launch, and personally, I can name at least ten different ways that Sony dropped the ball with the PSP. For one thing, it's way overdue for a re-design/price drop...
Regardless... I for one welcome our handheld gaming overlords... ;-)
it will be over - FPS deathmatch over Wi-Fi on a handheld? Fuhgeddaboudit!!
If Sony could do this with a new PSP, and tweak the graphic capabilities just a bit, Western gamers would go nuts. As a matter of fact, I think life on this earth would be forever changed.
Yeah, a handheld CS, Halo, Rainbow 6, or FPS KillZone? - we're talking electonic crack.
DS 39 million worldwide
PSP 20 million worldwide
Total 59 million
360 11 million worldwide
Wii 6 million worldwide
PS3 2.5 million worldwide
Total 19.5 million
Crazy huh? Plus the with the DS almost every game that comes out for it sells a million copies or close to it. Handhelds are the wave of the future.
Gaming fun, whilst I agree with you in spirit I think you need to take into consideration the length of time each of the respective consoles you mentioned have been available at retail.
I think that in the end the DS could end up being the console to push handheld gaming into the stratosphere in terms of market share but we need to sit back and wait until the playing field levels out until that call is made.
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