Edn: Last year's most popular Electronic News newsletter-referenced writeup, so I've heard, was my CES 2008 piece that came hot on the heels of Warner's decision to go Blu-ray-exclusive (and predicted a month-later inevitable conclusion that was also popular with online readers). The following prophetic paragraphs sum up my mildly ;-) controversial analysis:
I'm still betting that Blu-ray's seeming eventual victory will end up being a hollow one. Both camps have splurged a tremendous amount of money to date: in technology development and manufacturing ramp, in player hardware and software development, in player production ramp, in movie-studio "financial accommodations," and in retailer and end-user promotional campaigns. How long, and at what equipment and media-run-rate assumption, will it take for Sony and its partners to recoup this substantial upfront loss? Will they ever?
Am I psychic, psychotic, or maybe a bit of both? I'll leave you to decide the answer to that one. Nonetheless, where do we stand one year later?