PS4 vs PS3 in Japan – VGChartz Gap Charts – April 2018 Update

April 2018 is the 51st month of the PlayStation 4 being on sale in Japan. The gap grew in favor of the PlayStation 3 by 62,656 units in the last month and in favor of the PlayStation 4 by 422,834 units in the last 12 months. The PlayStation 4 currently leads by just 351,681 units.

The PlayStation 3 launched in November 2006, while the PlayStation 4 launched in February 2014. The PlayStation 4 has sold 6.63 million units, while its predecessor the PlayStation 3 sold 6.28 million units.

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morganfell151d ago (Edited 151d ago )

VGChartz vs Reality - Lifetime accuracy ↓

Neonridr151d ago

well the latest media crate sales as of June 2018 have the PS4 at 6.8 million. Based on how much the PS4 has been selling in Japan each week means that those numbers are pretty close as of April 2018.

morganfell151d ago

You are missing the point. The lifetime accuracy of that guestimation site is abhorrent. Their early bias is less obvious but they are no more accurate now than they were then. They correct their numbers after the fact and no one in their right mind takes them seriously.

DialgaMarine150d ago (Edited 150d ago )

They’re definitely way off for Xbone, that’s for sure. Based on the EA numbers, Xbone is at best sitting around 32 million, especially seeing as it hasn’t won a single NPD since October 2016, and isn’t a huge seller outside the US. VGC’s almost 38 million is way too high. Can’t really blame them though, given MS’s hush hush nature

The 10th Rider150d ago (Edited 150d ago )


That wasn't just VG charts, the sales analyst firm IHS Markit said 39M for the Xbox One and about 77M for the PS4.

What EA had said is that the combined totals for both platforms was 103M at the end of 2017.

Sony said 73.6M PS4's were shipped by the end of 2017.

From there, people extrapolated that if 103M had been sold between the two platforms by the end of 2017 and 73.6M PS4's had been sold by then, Microsoft had sold 29M or so Xbox Ones.

Now that's a bit misleading because it appears the PS4 numbers were actually sold to retailers, not to consumers. EA's numbers must have been estimates for sold through to consumers. Therefore the extrapolated Xbox One sales were likely wrong. Microsoft had said that they were wrong.

Coming into a month or so ago, IHS Markit released their figures: about 39M for the Xbox One and 77M for the PS4. Together that makes up about 116M through the end of March. If you assume another 10 million have been sold through the beginning of this year that's fairly close to EA's estimates.

Make of IHS Markit's estimates what you will, but EA never gave numbers for each individual console. People used the number from EA combined with the numbers from Sony to try and estimate the Xbox One sales, and now it's quite clear that it ended up being wrong. You can go look at EA's numbers and you'll find that they never said how much each console had sold, they only gave the combined numbers and people assumed that if you subtract Sony's numbers, which were likely sold to retailers, you ended up with the Xbox One's numbers.


"FIFA 19 and Star Wars Battlefront 2 publisher EA may have revealed the lifetime to date sales of the Xbox One. In the company's recent earnings call it stated there are 103 million PS4 and Xbox One consoles sold as of December 31, 2017. While Sony has publicly announced that it has sold over 73.6 million PS4 consoles, it would hold to reason that Microsoft has sold 29.4 million Xbox Ones in that time frame."

A number was never given, it was just assumed that if you take EA's number and subtract Sony's, you have Microsoft's numbers.

"According to research firm IHS Markit the Xbox One install base is at 39.1 million units versus the 76.6 million PS4s sold as of March 2018."

DialgaMarine150d ago (Edited 150d ago )

Not bad numbers, considering the state of the console market in JP. Hopefully PS4 is able to stay ahead of PS3 for the remainder of the gen and also break 10 million sold. No reason it won’t.

The 10th Rider150d ago

I think it will stay on track selling more, but the PS5 will likely release earlier in the PS4's life than the PS4 did in the PS3's.

In Japan the PS3 launched a little early and the PS4 launched a little late, compared to other countries.

Number of days between the PS3 and PS4 launch in Japan: 2660.

Launch date of the PS5 if it launched 2660 days after the PS4 in Japan: June 5th, 2021.

It's definitely a possibility that the PS5 doesn't launch until 2021, but it's really looking like a 2019 or 2020 launch, and if they stagger the launch again Japan might get it in Q1 2021. Any later than that is possible, but unlikely.