Submitted by PSNintyGamer 560d ago | article

Nintendo Probability Of Bankruptcy

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis.The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund going into bankruptcy or experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years. (3DS, Nintendo DS, Wii, Wii U)

Concertoine  +   560d ago
How odd, earlier this year they said Sony had 79% chance which has dropped to 45, and they had Nintendo at a much higher position.
If things change that drastically that quick, its clear their criteria for determining bankruptcy likelihood is too loose.
hellzsupernova  +   560d ago
yeah just seems like blind guess work. Niether company is going anywhere the patents and ips both own are vast.
itBourne  +   560d ago
Wait, what? The Wii U is doing shit, but the 3ds is booming. Also Nintendo has a mass pile of money stockpiled. They could fail on their next 2 consoles and still not be out of money.
imXify  +   560d ago
People just don't understand that when you lose money in a business it's exponential.
3-4-5  +   560d ago
This is a "hits" site
Xof  +   560d ago
It certainly is.
But don't just call it what it is.
Remember to advice your fellow users to RATE DOWN rubbish sites like these.
4logpc  +   560d ago
This is a number that changes almost daily. if Nintendo announced Zelda Today, you would see the number drop a ton. Its pointless.
eaise  +   560d ago
First probability is from 0-1. Nothing can be over 100% probability, which is 1.
Nintendo going bankrupt in the next 2 fiscal years is next to impossible. The real probability would be around 7% just because even with the mass amount of money they could still go bankrupt if they make millions of stupid decisions.
But that isn't gonna happen
BlackWolf  +   560d ago
Yep, this system is broken. First the Sony thing (Sony may have trouble, but not to the extent it was stated back then, IMO, and they're on route to recovery). Now we have this, a estimate for a company that, Wii U having a hard time or not, will not fall in 2 years time.
#4 (Edited 560d ago ) | Agree(5) | Disagree(1) | Report | Reply
hellzsupernova  +   560d ago
noway not with 10billion in the bank.
JewyMcJew  +   560d ago
I doubt it, Nintendo is swimming in cash. They could lose money for years without having to absorb debt.

It's kinda a shame. If they had more pressure, they would publish their wonderful games on other systems for the cash.
wonderfulmonkeyman  +   560d ago
That would be a BAD thing, so it's good they're not under that kind of pressure.
Actually, now that I think about it, Nintendo stated that they'd rather die and take their franchises with them before they'd go third party, so that detrimental-to-Nintendo dream dies before it ever takes off.
People who want Nintendo games should just get a Nintendo system.
We don't see Nintendo gamers begging for Halo or Infamous on the Wii U; if they want those games, they suck it up and save up for the systems that those games call home, and become multiplatform gamers in the process.
You know, like gamers who aren't just console-war-soldiers do.
#5.1 (Edited 560d ago ) | Agree(4) | Disagree(1) | Report | Reply
Geekman  +   560d ago
Very low, but I think they need to do something to avoid it should the issues they have start to get worse. Weren't they considering a Merger or aquisition? Buy Capcom. (Actually, Anybody should buy Capcom right about now.)
Concertoine  +   560d ago
Yeah, capcom's going to be dirt cheap here pretty soon. If nintendo had full rights to resident evil, megaman, and monster hunter, they'd be set in terms of pumping out exclusives. The capcom workforce is huge.
Alas, such is but a dream.
Capcom would be better under anyone but the dlc whores running them into the ground.
kwandar  +   560d ago
I'm willing to bet $10,000 US that Nintendo doesn't go bankrupt in the next 2 years.

I do real analysis on companies and this analysis is the worst piece of nonsense I've ever seen.
R00bot  +   560d ago
Wow, no way is that right. It's all based on guesses, if this was right, then Sony would probs be dead according to them.
Geekman  +   560d ago
Fanboy disagrees incoming.
R00bot  +   559d ago
Well, the same site did claim recently that Sony had an even higher chance of bankruptcy, which was wrong as well.
LOL_WUT  +   560d ago
Hopefully Nintendo can over come this as this is not good ;)
OtakuDJK1NG-Rory  +   560d ago
overcome what people fantasy of them going bankrupt.
L0L_WUT  +   559d ago
People just hate the best most of the time.
or else it wouldn't be fun ;)
Agent_hitman  +   560d ago
Like what others says, Nintendo should focus on Handheld 100% and stop releasing home consoles. I think that would be a safe bet.
M3TR01DFANBOY  +   560d ago
Absolutely not. nintendo home consoles are fantastic.
Baka-akaB  +   559d ago
That's silly , they just need to put more effort into attracting publishers for their essential home console games , and putting forth themselves more new interesting ips .

And they've got billion at their disposal to do so , if they care to .

If they dont they still sit on million of game sold based on their usual properties , even on home consoles
deafdani  +   559d ago
No, thank you.
5eriously  +   560d ago
"Nintendo Co Ltd has more than 75 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next 2 years of operations"

Financial stress is the key IF Nintendo do nothing about their current situation. I doubt they are sitting waiting to be declared bankrupt.
OtakuDJK1NG-Rory  +   560d ago
okay moving on
#12 (Edited 560d ago ) | Agree(5) | Disagree(1) | Report | Reply
stragomccloud  +   560d ago
How could a company that has way more money in the bank than Sony is even worth go bankrupt. I'm pretty sure these are randomly generated numbers. Last time they said Sony would likely go bankrupt in the next two years, and that's just not feasible either.
Beastforlifenoob  +   560d ago
OK make up random numbers here are the facts:

Total assets (rounded to nearest $bnUSD)

(151 billion sony) vs only 14bn USD Nintendo
Sony's assets are worth almost X11 times more (remember sony can liquadate some of this.)

Sony's revenue is 72bn USD and rising whilst nintendo's is 6.2bn USD and loosing

Sony's yearly revenue is almost 12x higher than that of nintendos

Over the past 5 years Sony's stocks have lost -18% whilst Nintendo's has lost 62%.
Sony has a 3.78% profit margin whilst Nintendo has a -5.17% profit margin. So Nintendo is losing money wheras sony is gaining!!

Sony also has products and services ranging from:
Consumer electronics
Semiconducter manufacturing
Video games
Media/entertainment (movies and music)
Computer hardware
telecommunications equipment
Financial services

Where Nintendo is almost limited to video games with an exception of a few

SO tell me how sony is in worse position then Nintendo
stragomccloud  +   560d ago
I should have specified games division. Where Sony actually loses money, not gains money.

That said. You need to really calm down bro. Time to stop drinking the Kool-Aid and come back down to Earth. You might worship your god Sony, but your god doesn't love you. Sony only wants your money. Now go home and think about what you've learned here today.

2013 fiscal year net profit/loss↓↓↓
Nintendo: $71 million net profit

Sony: $1.1 billion net loss +5000 jobs lost and PC division sold off.

Good thing Sony has other divisions to fall back on.

#13.1.1 (Edited 560d ago ) | Agree(6) | Disagree(2) | Report
OtakuDJK1NG-Rory  +   560d ago
Sony over 15b in debt and Nintendo 0 debt.
fonger08  +   559d ago
It's called basic math, assets are great, especially when you have to sell them off to make profit when you're normal revenue streams aren't creating any. 7 of the 11 things you listed are losing Sony money... in fact their best profit producing silo is a part them that has nothing to do with electronics and that's their insurance and financial branch. Nintendo's road isn't exactly paved with gold at the moment either, but it is a fact that Sony is in more financial trouble than Nintendo... does that mean bankruptcy here in the next 2, 3 years... not at all.
josephayal  +   560d ago
sad news, nintendo is dying
CouldHaveYelledUiiW  +   560d ago

(As in not true, unless the entire- and I mean the ENTIRE- staff has a vicious gambling and drug problem that we don't know about).

They were sitting on billions last count.
#15 (Edited 560d ago ) | Agree(0) | Disagree(0) | Report | Reply
FAT MAN GO BOOM  +   559d ago
Be careful of the BullSH*T this site is spewing.... nintendo is very very very far from going bankrupt or having any financial distress...

Talk about pulling a number out of your butt and trying to give it meaning...

put it on the net and some people will believe anything...

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