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Morpheus a “Really Bad Idea for Sony,” but PS4 Will Be a “Wild Success” According to Michael Pachter

Wedbush Securities Michael Pachter shared his opinion about Sony’s Project Morpheus, and the crystal ball holder extraordinaire seem not to be very enthusiastic about the commercial value of the idea. On the other hand he's definitely a believer in PS4's success.

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PoSTedUP852d ago (Edited 852d ago )

we dont know if it will be a big market or not, that depends on price and how sony and OR market VR, and the content. hes pretty wrong that devs wont support a small market with dedicated games bc the OR is getting a really good ammount of dedicated support and look how small it is right now. plus great devs are already on board the P.Morph, so him saying that its not going to sell without content and devs wont support it if it doesnt sell is off in a sense bc it already seems that it will have content.

3D didnt get much game support (from what i remember), and you had to buy a whole new tv (and a pretty expensive one, early on) so i think the comparison is kind of ridiculous, Sony is aiming for $250-300. VR seems so much cooler and more appealing than 3D, and at a much cheaper price point...

i feel it is a good move. im NOT saying it is a gimmick, but, the simple fact that even gimmicks make money, too, is a thing to consider as well, imo.

iamnsuperman851d ago

It really depends on 3 things:

Price
Support
Function outside of gaming

Price and support go hand in hand. If the price it too high less people will buy it and so less support. Also people wont buy it if there is no support.

But I feel the last factor is the most important. If the thing does become 250-300 it needs to be compatible with other things. It might sound bizarre and not really using the tech to its full potential but these things need to be compatible with set to boxes or devices that can provide visual content (be it phones, tablets....). The problem is that kind of money for a product means people will want to use it in more the one way because it will be competing with TVs and TVs have a lot more uses to them when it comes to connecting to other devices and being apart of the social experience (something, especially the latter, these VR headsets really can't do)

christrules0041851d ago

I agree except for your last part. Why would I want my phone or tablet to be able to connect to it? I don't wanna read or type anything an inch from my face.

Youtube videos, netflix, tv shows and games are where people can really use this device.

TomShoe851d ago

Morpheus will do just fine.

Sony only needs to realize that this is a SIDE project and that it will be done ON THE SIDE.

nicksetzer1851d ago

I'd say morpheus is a horrible idea "for sony." If VR ends up flopping that is going to be a huge loss (just like their tv's laptops, etc) and it will probably put forth the end of sony. Which is not good, no matter your stance in the console "wars."

Rainstorm81851d ago

@nnick

I doubt Sony is betting the entire company on a VR headset.....it is a peripheral after all....the main product would be the PS4

nicksetzer1851d ago (Edited 851d ago )

@rain You do realize in order to do this, they must fully develop the hardware and software, find a manufacturer, ship the product, market the product, pay their first party teams as well as 3rd party teams to implement it into their games (to preempt support for it) and hope that the defect rate is VERY low.
.
.
I get that the reality causes lots of downvotes here on neogaf, but sony isn't the most stable company financially and this is a huge investment, especially for such a gamble... that said, it could turn out great, guess time will tell

scott182851d ago (Edited 851d ago )

I think this will be a hit. Glad that Sony is on board with VR and it's coming to the PS4. Very exciting. It will be fun to use!

tbone567851d ago

Sony VR is gonna fail. Just going by past history. I see Morpheus and can't help but think move, vita, pspgo, psp phone, wonderbook and six axis and psp vita tv.

NewMonday851d ago (Edited 851d ago )

remember Michael Pachter saying the original Wii would flop?
____________________

"Function outside of gaming"

this is the most important thing, it needs to target and capture the general consumer, the success depends on this.

from interviews Sony seem to know this.

justSumDood851d ago

It never ceases to amaze how so many people can form an "opinion" (and I use the word loosely) on something they know nothing about and have never experienced. Use VR just one time, then come back here and post your comments (I already know what they'll be) and at least they'll have some validity.

The one andonly thing that will play a part in VR's success is exposure (even at that, it's only a matter of time.) It only takes one proper VR experience to make people believers.

Short term it will spread like wildfire. Long term it will affect and invade every aspect of our personal and social lives.

I've never been so sure of anything in all my life. If Oculus was a publicly traded company I would not hesitate to throw my entire life savings behind them.

Larry L851d ago

100% agree with SumDood. I've only used Oculus once (an up to date version, not an old version), got to play....or experience I should say.....a few "games" and I fully believe this technology (though it's really just old tech, now just mastered enough and cheap enough to go to mass market). This is the future of fantasy immersion until hologram/holograph technology is mastered and public and we can start working on real life Holo-Decks for "gaming". But that's a long time off. VR headset gaming could have a good 20+ year run if it all pans out.

It's not perfect tech for every kind of gaming, and retro gaming just wouldn't work aside from first person perspective games. But for quite a few genres this VR tech could just be absolutely revolutionary. Obviously FPS/RPGs, FPHorror and driving games would be the 1st genres to be magical with VR headsets, but the limits are boundless for all kinds of games like adventure, puzzlers, platformers, casual....even sports....being the QB or your favorite player, actually getting in the Octagon and fighting GSP or Royce Gracie.......... a new Mike Tyson's Punch-Out!!! anyone? Yeah......you thought he was scary on NES? LOL

It's the future of gaming guys, you're just gonna have to get used to looking like a dork for a while. Don't worry, the tech will be wrapped in a pair of Blu-Blockers within a generation or two.

+ Show (7) more repliesLast reply 851d ago
Angeljuice851d ago

"PS4 will be a wild success" that's really going out on a limb with crazy predictions. After all, who else could have made that call after such a rocky start?
Pachter must be some kind of genius time-travelling wizard. /S

Rainstorm81851d ago

Prior to launch he bet his money on the X1 right on Pach Attack on Gametrailers

Now he states the obvious, because it obvious .....SMH @ Pachter

hellzsupernova851d ago

yeah it is a big risk, unless they make it compatible with pc, and with their playstation now service.

Hopefully they realise that playstation needs to be everywhere not just on one platform and Morpheus to succeed needs to be everywhere possible.

Maybe if they make it a requirement for games in the first person eg Battlefield, Battlefront, Call of Duty, The Elder Scrolls, Fallout, War Thunder all driving games etc then i see it being rather successful

jhoward585851d ago

I have faith that VR will be a success. if it doesn't it because the industry failed us. Not because we didn't except it which I think we will like VR if its done right.

Also, I think most people are hung up about the past. True VR wasn't feasible back then with past technologies; today it is. So there's no excuse.

besides, there is no other technology out there we can use for entertainment in the near future so VR has to work. Its the only technologies that can bring the immersion we all dream of.

VR is not a gimmick because its just using basic laws of physic.So I don't know why people keep saying VR is a gimmick.

Muzikguy851d ago

I agree completely about 3D and tbh I'm glad the fad seems to be pretty much over. VR could very well be the next big thing. My only skepticism is content. Not lack of it, more like variety. Games are one thing but doing the same thing in VR over and over and over again would be more annoying than the rehashes we already get. (Think cod, madden, all open world games) I'm excited for it though

PoSTedUP851d ago

me too. i think it can also open up new doors as far as games go. plus indie devs are already bringing a lot of different kinds of experiences. i can onlyimagine what AAA devs can o with a bigger budget. even tho im most excited for FPS, open world and racers atm.

+ Show (2) more repliesLast reply 851d ago
Outside_ofthe_Box852d ago

Man, everything that is outside the tried and true is a "really bad idea" according to Micheal Pachter. So no surprise on his stance here.

Allsystemgamer851d ago

Funny thing is the tired and true were once outlandish ideas that people once thought would fail.

Hicken851d ago

As far as I'm concerned, the world is still flat.

Orange851d ago

And his analysis of the past doesn't seem that sound.

"Pachter continued by explaining that gamers have demonstrated not to be very interested in peripherals with the exception of Kinect, so they’re probably not going to buy Morpheus en masse"

Do a lot of people still care about Kinect, or would they rather have the $100 off?

oof46851d ago

Regardless of our disinterest in the Kinect, it did sell well.

panbit86851d ago

VR snatching wigs confirmed! LOL

xhi4851d ago

Why does this guy even have a job still? If an economist's predictions were as bad as this guy they would've been out of a job on the first day, yet this guy still gets hits. Sigh.

Kenshin_BATT0USAI851d ago

Hate to be the one to say it, but he's actually usually right. Besides that, your question is your answer? Why does he still have his job? Because he's doing it right.

RPG_Lover851d ago

He is right, VR is a bad move and the PS4 will be successful.

Darth Gamer851d ago

I also agree. I think that this is a fad that will get little support and follow in the footsteps of the move. (of which I bought into BTW) except this one will cost a great deal more. I will be waiting to see how this turns out though cause I do not have that famous crystal ball everyone talks about. lol

Darth Gamer851d ago (Edited 851d ago )

I think Sony should have seen what the Oculus Rift fared and then played accordingly.

thejigisup851d ago

If occulus offered crap but Sony knew they could blow it out of the water consumers might have a sour taste in their mouth about vr. If occulus knocks it out of the park Sony is left in the dust as far as content and development of hw is concerned. Sony is a major player in the tech world and has partnered with NASA. I have a feeling that only thing holding vr back for Sony is proper advertising. They've honestly been lacking in that dept for a while. Look at the vita, a fantastic piece of hardware with decent to excellent software but the sales have much to be desired. The meat and potatoes consumer hardly knows what the vita is, how it can be used, and what kind of deal they'd be getting with a vita and a ps+ membership. They have to remember how to sell the greater public on their products while offering amazing experiences. This willgetthose initial sales and keep that attach rate up.