DFC has given us exclusive access to their new forecast, which predicts "major growth" among the core gaming audience
PS4 will reach it years before the Xbox One. Actually I have trouble believing the Xbox One will ever reach it. It's losing the US and the UK, its 2 biggest markets last-gen and Xbox 360 only sold about 80m so far...
I predict 100 million to 150 million for PS4. Xbox One will do 50 million if US and UK supports it. Outside US/UK , its all SONY. I predict UK to fall to PS4 but US could go either way btw these DFC guys also predicted this : http://www.neogaf.com/forum... and ps3 barely surpassed the x360 worldwide
PS3 and 360 havent even hit 100 mil in the 7-8 years so what makes these predictions even plausible over the next 6? For these predictions to be achieved, both the PS3 and 360 literally have to stop selling and all efforts shifted to the PS4 and XB1 respectfully. That may be something MS would consider doing just as they did transitioning from original xbox to 360 but i dont foresee Sony dropping the PS3 anytime soon.
I predict that systems will be sold.
55million for xboxone PS4 125million.
Sure, at this rate the ps4 will reach it first. But it doesn't need to be the top seller in those markets in order to reach that number. They just need to have a larger marketshare than last gen, and they need for the market to be a bit larger... Both of which appear to be happening. I bet they both cross the line but Sony will move 20-40 mil more.
"PS4, Xbox One will both reach 100m units - DFC" The PS4 will most likely achieve that number. Doubt the X1 will. I'll be surprised if the X1 achieves the 60m mark. Microsoft has to drastically change the X1 if they want to catch up with the PS4.
That a load of nonsense. Xbone will definatley reach 60mil. That is seriously absurd to think it won't
Doubtful. It may beat the XB1 by 3-6 months, but that is all. We are still in the honeymoon period. Once a few more months have passed we will definitely be able to predict more trends. Regardless I hope they both do well because more competition typically means more value for the consumer at a lower price point.
Nope. Both won't reach 100m. It'll be one or the other.
I'm not really sure why you have all those disagrees... it's simple math and market share. The Xbox360 has been out almost 10yrs and hasn't reached 100mil the PS3 almost 8yrs hasn't reached it either. Not to mention tablets, android consoles, steam, and the eventual apple tv, will take up market share regardless of how core or hardcore gamers feel about them. Will the PS4 reach it, probably, but both, in 6yrs is not something I would bet on.
Markets that were dominated by the ps1 and ps2, dont be ridiculous dude
Like 80 million units is not a big deal. You sound silly saying something like that. You do know people will buy 2 consoles most of the time now. They also will be the same console 2 or 3 more times in a console generation.
Unless some drastic price cuts, there is no way both system will reach 100million in six years. PS4, more than likely, given its starting price and momentum out the gate. That being said, both these systems don't operate in a vacuum. Other "cheaper" systems will release and will take pieces of the market ie; Amazon, Apple TV, Steam, and whoever else throws their hate in the ring.
Think about it this way: Xbox 360 has sold about how many consoles? 85 million in over 8 years? Okay, let's go with that. And let's also ignore that people bought brand-new consoles during the heyday of RRoD instead of waiting for their consoles to be sent back. Maybe give it another 2-3 years and 360 will reach 100 million. So, 85 million in 8 years, with all of the advantages that 360 had. Now, those advantages are gone. Xbox has lost its foothold in Europe and it looks like it will be beaten in NA as well (where formerly 360 sold nearly double the PS3). It lost its price advantage, and the brand is weaker. And yet, people think the X1 will not only perform better than the Xbox 360, but it will still be selling over a decade from now? That's what would have to happen for X1 to reach 100 million. Let's have a reality check, shall we?
I don't understand how the X1 can reach 100mil.
By selling consoles.
Won't see that many.
Why, thank you!!
won't reach 100m if this gen only lasts 5 yrs which i hope it doesn't. then again its selling really quick these consoles
I think it will be 2:1 Sony:MS
I still think the Wiiu will preform better than the xbox one but i dont think it will reach 100 mill. I dont think it will only be 20 mill thats cutting it short. 7 year prediction Ps4-88mill Xbox one-55 mill WiiU-60 mill
They both will reach it. One will reach it faster than the other, people will celebrate and claim victory even though they bought their console years earlier. Then the next gen of consoles will release, and the internet arguing will start all over. My console sells better in this country. They shouldn't even release your console here, no one will buy it. This dev sucks, until they make a multiplatform game. That dev sucks, until they make an exclusive game for your platform of choice. ETC, ETC, ETC. A never ending Shakespeare play.
how can that be? In order to reach 100 million Xbox one will have to sell around 50 million in Europe and Asia and around 50 million in USA. Xbox One could hit 30 million - 40 million in USA but in Europe with that price point, wont even reach 20 million
........... yeah because it will stay 500.00 forever just like the ps3 stayed 600.00 till last week.
what? People can't have multi consoles in their homes?
@Software_Lover But MS was the cheaper console and was one of the reasons for gaining in the market share with the Xbox 360. Now it's the opposite way, the PS4 will always be the cheaper\stronger console. So if history is to tell you anything, it's that MS is probably going to loose some of that market share they had with the 360.
ITT we all come up with numbers that seem intuitive, even though we know even less about the future than DFC - whatever that stands for.
Too many factors to consider, but i'll let you guys argue over meaningless details. Just bring me great games.
"but i'll let you guys argue over meaningless details" So why do i see you in every comment to do with sales?
I'm not sure how Xbox One will fare. One advantage they had with the 360 was price, it was never so expensive and was quite affordable, but at $500 it's a bit of a stretch for some people especially when you add in games a controller and Xbox Live. Even their holiday bundles weren't much of a bargain at all. Personally my 1st impressions of Xbox one is it's a great console and has some really cool features. I even like the look of it a little bit, but I'm a PlayStation gamer and my PC is almost like a more powerful Xbox One, so I still get to play Titan Fall and just about every Xbox one exclusive right on my PC. So between my PS4 and PC I have the best of both worlds.
At $500, the xbox one never will. However, it seems likely when you factor in eventual price drops.
One thing that would've helped push some Xbox One sales was Titan Fall, but by it being on 360 and PC it makes it not truly exclusive and takes away from the luster of buying an Xbox One for that game.
@Itachi83 That's absurd. How many times have I heard console gamers say that they don't care about the PC, that the PC and consoles are separate markets, that Steam Machines won't win over any console gamers because console gamers don't care about the PC, etc? I hear this ALL THE TIME. Yet you want us to believe that all console gamers get free gaming PCs in the box with their console purchases or something. As a multi-platform gamer who owns a gaming PC and several consoles I know as well as anybody that there is some overlap between the console and PC gaming markets. But I also know that there are lots of mainstream type gamers that only look at consoles and couldn't care less about gaming on the PC. It doesn't even enter their mind. For those kind of people Titanfall is an XB1 exclusive since it can't be played on any Playstation console.
Ps4 will reach 100 million that's for sure. Not so sure about other consoles
Wonder which one will reach a 100m first?
Lol at some of comments above, I am a Sony fan at heart but Xbone will do awesome too, wii u will struggle and lose market share but it will still sell enough to be classed as a profit in the end with some great games. All 3 will have great exclusives throughout its life cycle at the end of the day, what makes me laugh is we all like and enjoy the same hobby yet we have all this fanboy crap going on, surely we should embrace each other cause we're all going to be playing awesome exclusives this gen regardless of what console we chose. Edit Ps3/ps4 owner Disagree with Ms business practices but will be buying a Xbone in 2 yrs or so cause I will not want to miss out on some awesome exclusives. As for purchasing a wii u, well probably not as it doesn't cater for me these days
haven't both sides of the tables (not including nintendo) said that this is a 10 year + generation... so it's not unreasonable to see consoles exceeding 10 mil... as the years go buy people will buy a second console for either replacing their broken one, wanting the newer, better looking model... one that has bigger HDD drives or a blu-ray less console (some people want all digital) factor in price drops that are inevitable, big named IPs that have a following (some are waiting to buy the consoles for those IPs) and kids growing up to adulthood and buying their own boxes 100mil each is not unrealistic
I think they both said that last gen. Only 1 really stuck to it.
I agree. This might be a longer generation, if not just as long as the previous. I also don't think they will stray from the x86 architecture in future revisions. The ps4 is about as straight forward as you can get. It has a GPU. It has a CPU. It has a pool of RAM. Use it. All future consoles will probably be the same way, with smaller pools of flash memory for other aspects of the consoles.
looks like someone's bought the wrong system OOPS!!!!!!!!
I dont think any of them will for years to come and until their replacements (whatever form) they come in, hit's the market. Based on price and room to move/games I would say PS4
They will not hit the 100m mark because of smartphones
Feel free it's a free Country right .
I think they both will reach it, who does it first is irrelevant. Each system will have it's tipping point in this cycle, The only ones who care who reaches what first is the Fan kids. It's bragging fuel, nothing more. It's a never ending story of flip flops and what's important at the time. It's to the point now, I don't believe a true gamer will only own one out of the three systems for the entire gaming cycle. There are just to many great games coming out that either " continues a franchises legacy", or "creates a new experience rarely seen in gaming" I know I like Xbox, but down the line I will pick up a ps4, and I already have a Wiiu (you really think I'm going to miss out on some Mario Kart? You all have lost yawl minds."
So glad to read this lol we need both of these companies fighting to keep us happy lol
Yup, I do dig competition between tech behemoths. Better stuff for us. :)
I fully agree. Competition results in lower prices, more options and better quality products for consumers. I don't care what morganfell and the rest of the zealots say.
no way xbox one will reach 100 million. i'm sure it will sell worse than x360 because last generation lasted 8 years for x360 and it was 100$ cheaper than is xbox one. i think xbox one will sell 50 million lifetime: 5 million in UK, 30 million US and 15 rest of world
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