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The Problem With Next Generation Predictions

At this point, the press is rampant with speculation about how the next generation is going to play out. In this editorial from 1985FM, we talk about the problems with trying to guess the outcome in an uncertain marketplace.

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PopRocks3591122d ago

Said it before and I'll say it again; the gaming industry is very unpredictable. I don't think anyone can make a prediction about new hardware and expect it to be 100% accurate. Who would have guessed that an underpowered console with an obscurely shaped controller would walk away selling almost 100 million units? Who could have guessed that Xbox LIVE would dominate the better portion of the generation in terms of software (not to mention receive many franchises once loyal to the Sony brand like Metal Gear, Final Fantasy and Devil May Cry)?

Certainly not me.

ZeekQuattro1121d ago (Edited 1121d ago )

How bout it. People hated on the Wii more than the Wii U if you can believe that & the Wii dominated sales for years despite being released last. As for the 360 I wasn't surprised because of the reason you mentioned. Once exclusive Sony franchise were now on the 360 and in some cases had timed exclusives to boot.

CouldHaveYelledUiiW1122d ago

Repost from earlier:

There are a lot of "IF"'s floating around out there-

Everybody knows how well PS4 and 720 are going to do... but how?

It is entertaining to read everything being said, for and against- even impartial speculation-

BUT the truth is we don't know.

IF after E3 and the following Nintendo Directs, I don't see a lot of Big 3rd Party and 1st Party Games or Announcement then I will seriously doubt WiiU's contention for the crown.

But all of this could backfire if this time 2014 PS4 or 720 haven't sold as much as the WiiU has this year.

To be honest the WiiU is ahead of 360 and PS3 sales Launch- The numbers bear this out- But below the sales of Wii at this point in its launch.

Can't wait to watch the Big 3 in Action this E3.

Williamson1121d ago

It doesnt matter to me how much more powerful/weaker the ps4 is to the next xbox, im still going with the ps4. Not because I hate microsoft but because Im more of a fan of the sony exclusives. So who beats who in terms of sales/specs doesnt have a major impact on me.

Dms20121121d ago (Edited 1121d ago )

I gave you bubbles for a very well reasoned explanation as to why you like x over y without spilling over into the same old rant. Says the guy with one bubble lol

malokevi1121d ago (Edited 1121d ago )

The author brings up a good point about the new Zelda, Mario Land, Smash Bros, and Mario Kart. I had one of those moments where I wanted to go out and grab a Wii U like some sort of deranged 7 year old. :D

In all seriousness, I enjoyed this article. Good to see an impartial perspective. I am personally going to wait until everyones cards are on the table before I decide who I think will come out on top.

I do have it in high-hopes that Microsoft will have an impressive offering. Don't believe everything you read...

Nothing is better for the industry than good competition.

MonkeyNinja1121d ago

Like the BioShock Infinite references