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Microsoft Says Blu-ray's HD-Format Victory Could Be Short

While Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer says Blu-ray will be supported on Windows, he also sees Blu-ray as transitory with Internet downloads the future. And Sony says Blu-ray prices will be controlled with a slow drop and no Blu-ray licenses for Chinese manufacturers. Analysts expect consumers to stick with DVDs rather than rush to Blu-ray.

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TriggerHappy3234d ago (Edited 3234d ago )

It's not really smart to talk down something you will 'eventually' adopt you know. But man, what do I know ? Am just some random guy posting on the internet.

sonarus3234d ago

haven't they already said this before. Just shut up and adopt the technology if you want to if not then don't. That simple

Genesis53234d ago

Short as in decade maybe 2 decade short. Haven't we had this discssion before?

season0073234d ago

what more can i say except "WHATEVER"

lessthanmarcus3234d ago (Edited 3234d ago )

I want a hard copy of my movie that I can take different places. Not a DRM locked movie that is stuck on my computer (which I never use to watch movies) unless I drag it onto an 8 gig thumb stick that I will never buy. Internet downloads is not the future. I like having the discs and cases.

Zun3234d ago

Unmistakenly what can only be described simply as FUD on a corporate scale, nothing to get your chickens out over people Sony does it, Toshiba does it, every company is trained to do it.. this just happens to be a desperate attempt by Ms which comes off as sad tbh.

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HarryEtTubMan3234d ago

LMAO MICRSOFT IS PATHETIC AND JEALOUS. They cant control what happens, BLu Ray is here to stay for a long while.

Expy3234d ago

Pretty funny. Large scale digital downloading will not be a reality for a good decade or so, even then it'll be in its infant stages.

Lucreto3234d ago

Very true I never had a week without my broadband stopping. This usually happens with new technology. Broadband is only 5 years old in Ireland and is very expansive. MS is only looking at the US market as the broadband is more advanced there.

Also it says DVDs will last but if studios are not making money they could stop producing DVDs.

Tempist3234d ago

I take this as Mr Baulmer and Microsoft will be giving everyone broad band to download stuff digitally. Else if they aren't they can shove the downloading notion else where and let us enjoy large capacity portable media.

The Lazy One3234d ago

You wanna back up why DD won't be big for 2 decades?

DRUDOG3234d ago

@the lazy one...

Um...probably because more than half the world doesn't have broadband. Or that the storage to store said media has A LOT of growing to do before you'd get my 200+ DVD collection (let alone the BDs, games, music, etc. I own) on it. Or the very simple fact that A LOT of people:

1. Want the disc in their hands.
2. Have no clue what a digital download is.
3. There are more people/places in NA that still don't have HD televisions, HD movie players or HD programming than do have them. 4. Digital distribution is already here in many ways (MP3, bittorrent, etc.), but hasn't killed hard media.

Also, all electronic manufacturers owe the retailers A LOT of loyalty and have said as much recently. The Walmarts, Targets, etc. of the world have something to say about how we "consume" our products. Retailers take big chances (ask Walmart about HD-DVD) and companies understand that. I could give you A LOT more reasons why it will come, but it'll be awhile and won't completely take over so I'll leave you with my last thought:

How many movies about the future have you seen?!? You always see the protagonists putting disks or such other into whatever machine they are trying to use. It's inevitable... :P

The Lazy One3234d ago

First, Almost half the world is an underdeveloped or developing country. I doubt they have a huge impact on any sort of media regardless of it's form.

1.) If it only cost me $1 to watch a movie anytime I want from a larger library than I could ever dream of owning (leaving otu the possibility of subscription services like netflicks where you can watch as many as you want for free)I would think twice about actually owning that movie. (note: DD doesn't replace media as collectibles, just media as the primary means of watching a movie)

2.) I'd be willing to bet the majority of people not in developing countries (and even many in them) know pretty well what a digital download is, or what it would entail.

3.) So this argument works just as much against any large sized readable physical media.

4.) I have bought 4 CDs in the past 5 years. It hasn't killed it, but they are by no means mine or many others primary means of listening to music.

On manufacturers oweing retailers. They'd probably still sell other products like Digital Distribution boxes and cards to pay for movies. Outside of that, you'd be suprised how little loyalty there actually is in big business.

IntelligentAj3234d ago

I tried downloading a movie and it took me 3 days and I have RoadRunner. I'm pretty sure it takes just as long(maybe a little shorter for some people but I doubt it) to download a movie. And i'm sure the studios won't offer downloads without some sort of timer to protect them from being shared. And lastly most of the world would have to catch up with their internet speeds before it becomes widespread and who knows how long(and how much money from the companies) that'll take.

The Lazy One3234d ago (Edited 3234d ago )

I know at least verizon, and probably most cable providers will be setting up fiber optic connections in the near future (very near future, it might even be available some places already), which are a fair bit faster than most cable services.

You also have to take into account who you're downloading from, and whether or not you're downloading or streaming. Personally, I'd imagine DD to work more like a rental service where you stream the data when you want to watch rather than keep it saved on a hard drive.

Like I said earlier, I don't expect it to completely replace any kind of physical media, I only expect it to replace them as the primary means of watching movies/other stuff. Collectors will still want and will get physical media, but that doesn't necessarily mean they won't just stream the data if they subscribe to a service that lets them download for free.

edit: I also have no more bubbles, so don't ask me to reply. If you want a response I may PM one to you.

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pwnsause3234d ago

yup, yup, yup, yup, coming from the same guys that tried to shut it down by telling tosh to continue building the HD-DVD format to start a format war, that way they can look like the real heroes that killed both formats by commencing Digital Distrubution, but miserably lost.

Sayai jin3234d ago

He's wrie about one thing. It will be a few years befor DVD fades away, some analyst say even longer. For one, most people have standard TVs and even when the upgrade for HDTV becomes mandatory (2008-2009 in the US) most people will pony up and buy a HDTV that has 1080i capability. 1080p TV will still be more expensive. Most people do not care for super high definition. Most consumer buy a DVD to watch a movie, nit to get eye splitting visuals and sound. I love it myself, but ost do not. Blu-ray is still more expensive than DVD $29 USD to $19 USD for DVD which is still $10 cheaper. Not to include the price of the player. No doubt it has dropped in price and will continue to be cheaper so the price will not be an issue for ever. I think that in a few years DVD prices will get to around $15 USD, this will happen before the end of DVD's era. When that time comes around we will have an new technology out the door, one being DD, new disc format, etc.

Most people will ask themselves why do I need a blu-ry player when most movies are still being produced on DVD, I do not need to spend anymore money, etc.

MS would not be touting about DD like this if it was going to take as long as many think.

decapitator3234d ago

Yup. You right. Most people I talk to or at least know, don't even know what a blu-ray is. I've tried converting a few but according to them, they just can't see the difference between DVD and BD. Sucks really.

Expy3234d ago

They need better television sets. Until they drop to about.... I don't know.. let's just say "their price range *cough*" they won't have the sets to fully take advantage of Blu-Ray's quality... Also have to add in the surround systems...

There is a clear difference at 1080p and 7.1 compared to DVDs and 5.1.

decapitator3234d ago (Edited 3234d ago )

I completely agree with you Expy. But in the eyes of an 'average' consumer, if they have a tv that works and a dvd player that functions properly, they have no plans for upgrading to BD right now.

Also, I think the only factor that isn't working for BD right now is the price tag. If Sony can get it down really low, it will boon.

Sayai jin3234d ago

Yup, both are right. I tried talking some people into it, but their TV's are only 1080i, one had a 1080p television, but did not care. There is a difference between DVD and blu-ray, a huge difference. Mainly techies are buying blu-ray. The average consumer will still be buying DVD's for a while.

kurochi3234d ago

The "consumers" all of you guys are talking about will be purchasing (recessions aside) when the broadcast stations starts broadcasting in 1080i as the Federal government demands. It'll be THE standard across the US. That's when we'll see the most growth for Blu-ray merchandise.

Genesis53234d ago (Edited 3234d ago )

I'll wager a guess and say in 2 years it will be 50-50 support for dvd to blu-ray in consumer purchasing. But as storage disc in will be more like 90-10 in favour of Blu-ray.

Sayai jin3234d ago

@kurochi- Most people know about the mandatory switch to a HDTV signal for US broadcasting stations. It will be 1080i. In fact I talk about that. The cheaper HDTV out currently are 1080i, but to trully get the blu-ray experience you will need 1080p, why else buy a 1080p or blu-ray if it is not to et the full experience. 1080p TV prices are still pretty high and no one has answered the question on whuy the average consumer will offer to pay $250 to $800 USD for a blu-ray player (the price will decrease over time), buy a more expensive media in blu ry (averaging DVD's are $19 and blu-ray's are $29), etc. Most people will be content to keep DVD's for some time and the major movie studios will back up DVD's for sometime.

Guitarded3234d ago

Many stations will still be broadcasting SD signals over digital channels. The switch is being made, reportedly, so the government can use the analog channels for law enforcement and other communications. Not to push HD.

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