At Game Monetization Summit analyst also says Call of Duty is a “failure”, Zynga is a “train wreck”, and more
Wow, wacky, but always entertaining!
Pachter should be bubbled down for trolling.
This guy is the biggest moron, doesn't understand the industry at all, doesn't understand trends, doesn't understand why gamers buy one game over another, doesn't understand why people buy one console over another, his opinion is irrelevant and he really should just be fired for his idiocy. When you're an analyst and you always get it wrong, you either get fired or people just stop listening to you. I can't believe this guy is still employed other than that people want to see a well paid guy say such stupid things
Sony should buy Take Two. Imagine if they had exclusivity with Bioshock, Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead, Max Payne, Midnight Club and Borderlands... I've been saying this for a while now though
was about to say eff you, don't you take my bioshock! then I remembnered there's no way in h*ll I'm buying MS's next console after the sh*t they put me through this gen.
Do research b4 u make assumptions Take-two is a publisher they do not own red dead,gta,bio shock etc .. I think you have to be for sale to get purchased anyway take-two hasn't even announced they was interesting in selling
@ IK IR Y IP T... research they own R* ,2K and Irrational
yeah EA couldn't buy take-two so activision won't/cant. also let's not forget the company that owns majority of activision/blizzard is also trying to sell their shares. http://www.bloomberg.com/ne... $8.1 billion price point also COD is slowing down so how many more games before people stop caring? BO2 is one of the best COD games in a long time but its sales are down. “We believe unit sales of Call of Duty: Black Ops II are tracking down double digits year-over-year,” says Bhatia. “Our checks show initial sales of CoD: Black Ops II at some retailers were down as much as 20 percent. Subsequently, it appears sales of CoD did pick up a bit over the Thanksgiving holiday. We think the current sales curve suggests CoD: Black Ops II unit sales in its first year could ultimately be down 10 percent to 15 percent year-over-year,” now nintendo slowing down well that all depends on wii-u. 3rd party support is what will decide the success or failure for wii-u but consider this the last nintendo console to get 3rd party support was NES
Activision/Blizzard while under Venvedi will not buy any company as they are pushing to sell their 61% stake in the company. THQ is primed for someone to buy it or its assets as its tripping over its bank loans. Take Two is not likely to be bought by anyone in the foreseeable future. Maybe one day, but unlikely I believe.
More inaccurate predictions this "analyst" is releasing! Just ignore him, he releases so much hot air that he should look for a new job to replace a hot-air balloon's burner - maybe he'll be more useful? However, he does have a point; imagine how rich Acti would be if COD:MP needed a subscription to simply play it? Imagine all of the different outcomes that could've happened. We say Acti are evil, but imagine if they'd chosen to charge for COD MP? They'd have more money than the number if stars in the sky! We could be in a lot worse of a situation.
Pachter certainly gave a lot more sensible predictions than you did. =)
This dude must be on some crazy good drugs.. he's all over the place with his "predictions". Who listens to him again?
well... for one you did. You may not agree with what he said...but you sure as heck read the article about his predictions.
New Story: Pachter: My Predictions Have Been And Still Are "Completely Irrelevant"
Wow.....this is indeed a new low for patcher.
Seriously where in Avatars green world does Pachter gets his sorry predictions from? Pachters far from right. How do I know you ask? Because Take Two already said they WOULD NOT annualize GTA. A GTA every year would Assassinate the series, COD style. Activision buying Take Two would never happen. Take Two would never let.
Noooooo! You almost had it. I was reading and you left me hanging. "...WOULD NOT annualize GTA. A GTA every year would Assassinate the series, Ubisoft style" I thought you were taking a hit at Assassin's Creed yearly release lol.
He is not way off in what he said, if you read the article. The comments about Zynga are true and are not disputable. Just look at the stock price. In regard to Call of Duty, he was comparing it to an online subscription model (e.g., WoW) and was pointing out that CoD players predominantly play online only and many of them do not buy other games. So, for only $60, Activision does not make as much money as it could. He did not say that CoD was a failure in general (hell, it brought in over a half billion dollars on its first day!). As far as Nintendo, he was referring to the Wii U not having online players. He said that as good as CoD is on the Wii U, if no one is playing online, it is not looking like a good bet for future 3rd party support by other companies. And finally, he talked about the state of the industry in general: "He noted that in 2008, the market for packaged games in the US was $22.6 billion with $3 billion in digital revenue. By 2011, packaged goods revenue had fallen to $18.4 billion, and he's projecting a total of about $16 billion for 2012, with $12 billion in digital revenue. “Overall the game industry is really healthy,” Like him or hate him, Pachter is an analyst who uses market data, stock prices, profit/loss of companies, earnings reports and other business predictors to develop his own predictions. These predictions are to guide investors, not to appease fanboys of this console or that console.
But that's just it; he advised people to buy into Zynga, saying the market involved was not a bubble. A market grown instantaneously from flighty unreliable consumer behaivior that suddenly grew faster than it could support. And now the bubble has burst. Meanwhilr, he cites the wii as a bubble, despite its incredible success based around an industry standard of 6 years. It has sold more than 360 and ps3, but because its sales declined at the end of its life it was a bubble? The problem with pach is he is not good at following market trends and rarely predicts accurate outcomes, which is pretty damn important if he is supposed to advise people on which companies to invest in. And that is at least 50% of his job...
Beautifully said my friend and finally someone who really gets it. I wish more people could see the real picture here as you did instead of being completely ignorant. Bravo man.
What does it matter if they lay online or not. if they ship 5 million systems and 3.5 million people by the game.isn't that a definition of success?
So, in pachs eye zynga went from 1 best bet for investors ib the industry to 2 crushing under its own weight from being to awesome and finally 3 a train wreck. In less than 12 months. I thought zynga was heading towards train wreck back when pachter was at phase 1.
How can I reach this guy's drug dealer?
Patcher predicts you will never reach his drug dealer, as you are too poor.
all this asshole seems to do is start trouble by making these false accusations, and then next thing u know all the little kids on the internet are arguing about it.
Interesting take on Nintendo.
I'm being completely honest with this question: has anything this guy said in the past couple years actually proven to be correct, or better yet, have any effect on the industry? No one here on N4G really seems to care about anything he says, myself included.
Well the only thing I remember he said and did not become true was that Call of Duty's online (all of it, not just a premium service) would have a subscription fee.
He said that sony would release a ps3 without a blu-ray drive to cut costs - that didnt happen. He said nintendo would release an updated Wii with a HDMI port - that didnt happen Tbh he makes a lot of really dumb predictions that dont happen.
Lol at Nintendo and Activision can go die if they buy Take-Two. They would only buy it out of pure jealousy that they make quality games and Activision can only copy and paste one irrelevant game from 2005... but this guy is a whack job so everything is okay.
Yeah right. Activision will not be buying Take-Two. I don't see it happening as Activision were on the chopping block by their owner this year. I doubt that Vivendi would actually purchase Take-Two via Acti.
Look at Sony though economically they don't look good but only because they bought into so many different companies he's trying to say even if Activision was on the chopping block it would increase the chances of it's sale as it would be seen as a much more profitable company with them.