100°

Pach-Attack! - Are Nintendo’s Projections Serious?

Michael Pachter analyzes the possibility of Wii U reaching its sales expectations.

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yellowgerbil3819d ago

Nintendo will eventually go the route of sega. They lack the other departments of Sony and Ms to carry them through costly mistakes and failures.

jameson123453819d ago

Except, you know money. And efficient operation styles. Heck, they even made a profit off the gamecube, and we know how well that system sold.

jameson123453819d ago

Plus, they just had two of the highest selling consoles ever last generation. Sega had several failing consoles in a row and we almost bankrupt when they went third party.

Also, because of these other departments in Sony and Microsoft (which now aren't making near as much money for their companies as they used to) they actually have less leeway than Nintendo to make mistakes. If the playstation and xbox brands start costing them money, they have already been giving indications that they would cut them loose.

TheLastVoiceOFsanity3819d ago

were you even born before sega became a 3rd party developer?

yellowgerbil3819d ago

unlike you I've lived through Atari, magnavox, NeoGeo, and Sega all dying. As for the other replies, Nintendo is failing miserably, and have far less leeway than you are all giving them credit for. Where both Sony and MS have a good move into the future with other ventures (Vita Tv if released worldwide alone is enough to give sony a huge boost) Nintendo only has portable gaming to keep it afloat, and we all know portable gaming is going to be going the way of the dodo in a few short years. Why get a gameboy when you can get a Iphone or tablet, hell you can even emulate Nintendo games on them)

Chrischi19883819d ago

yeah, that is why Microsoft is already considering to sell the whole Xbox business. Really, maybe you guys should get your facts right. Microsoft is losing a lot of money and sony just started to get some, but Nintendo made money on everything, except the Wii U, for the time being, so maybe, do some thinking and research, before acting like a news snob.

BullyMangler3819d ago

lol Nintendo can afford to make mistakes < fact

but if sony is gonna be copying nintendo and call that "competition" maybe sony should stick to making appliances . (:

11eleven113819d ago

Check this out http://www.vgchartz.com/gam...
To underestimate Nintendo is like underestimate The Beatles, or Michael Jordan, or the USS Enterprise.

fonger083819d ago

Seriously, look at Microsoft or Sony's gaming revenues then tell me who's more likely to go 3rd party. Nintendo will make money on the wii u faster than the Xbox one or the Ps4 both which stand to have losses per system sold. I mean I can't even tell you the last time the xbox gaming division posted a decent profit even with xbox live subscriptions. And Sony as a whole... well due to some favorable foreign exchange rates and the liquidation of some capital is the only way the company as whole has posted any significant profit in the 10 years or so. Nintendo has been doing this far far longer than sony or Microsoft, while the wii u isn't exactly a commercial success, it will be turning of profit soon.

yellowgerbil3819d ago

"The last six years have been terrible for Nintendo's (NASDAQOTH: NTDOY ) shareholders. After peaking in 2007 with a market cap near $85 billion, Nintendo has steadily collapsed and has now lost over 76% of its value over the last five years."
http://www.fool.com/investi...

+ Show (4) more repliesLast reply 3819d ago
weekev153819d ago

How much does this man get paid to spew this crap? I really hope WiiU takes off and Nintendo smash their projections. 3d world and the bundles that have been created look like helping.

Dunban673819d ago

weekev15,

do you think they will sell 9 million for their fiscal year ending March 2014?

they won t come close - How is what Pach is saying crap- his prediction is an easy one to make and correct. Iwata has not come w in a few million of hitting any of his own Wii /u sales predictions yet

R00bot3819d ago

I agree, 9 million probably isn't possible. 5-6 million is possible IMO considering Mario 3D World and it's apparently large marketing campaign.

We'll see if they get anywhere near that projection.

Dunban673819d ago

So you 6 (so far) guys that clicked disagree think Nintendo is going to sell 8.5 million Wii U's between now and the end of March 2014?

The 1st 1/2 of Nintendo s fiscal year (thru September) they sold 460,000+/- Wii u s

I wish there was a way to put money on that bet

I own a Wii u by the way- bought it at launch- my son is playing Lego Marvel Superhero's on it right now. I generally like the Wii U but am disappointed in Nintendo s effort to sell/market it, make games for it, get 3rd party support and generally making it better.

deafdani3819d ago

I think you misunderstood Nintendo's projections a bit. They're not aiming to sell 9 million Wii U's between now and the end of march, 2014. They're hoping to reach that number by then in LIFETIME sales (that is, including all the consoles they've sold since launch, which, to date, amounts to almost 4 million, I think).

The first thing is impossible. The second is not, although I still believe it to be very unlikely.

weekev153819d ago

I think selling 5 mil is a possibilty over the holiday season, however I agree its ambitious. There are more people I know buying a wiiu when 3d world than at launch last year (although I know my market research of 20-30 people isnt conclusive)

The biggest thing Nintendo could do is make mums and dads aware of WiiUs existence. Invade x factor adverts, the champions league and thanksgiving football in the US.

+ Show (1) more replyLast reply 3819d ago
bigbearsack3819d ago

Mario 3d party is going to boost the Wii U.

for we are many3819d ago

I wonder why Pachter and other "analysts" and fanboys do Not talk about this for example: http://www.gamepolitics.com...

But what do you know?! It's just Nintendo and NOT one of those multi-trillion, monopolizing companies or those with media studios and news sites. They make their games internally and NOT just go throw endless money at 3rd party studios to get exclusive games or even Exclusive DLC.

RPGrinder3819d ago (Edited 3819d ago )

Nintendo will easily reach wii u and 3ds.

When was patcher right about nintendo?

and even if they dont who cares

FYI I love it how the questioner ignored the 3ds projections which are insanely high and reachable?

slant vs nintendo

andibandit3819d ago

and even if they dont who cares

I dunno, maybe the shareholders.....

RPGrinder3819d ago

Who know nothing about gaming

Dunban673819d ago

As an owner of a Wii U I care how many they sell- the worse the Wi U does the fewer 3rd party games we will get

The worse the Wii U does the less money Nintendo will invest in more games for it

The worse the Wii u does the less money Nintendo will invest in making improvements to the consoles software, to the W=E sop and to Mii Verse- So yes it does matter

One more thing- the worse the Wii U does the higher the chance Nintendo will one day be selling their games on ipads and the like- which I hope does not happen

JackieCruise693819d ago

Although their sales projections probably wont be met; Patcher needs to just shut up.

I think he gets a hard-on when the opportunity to shit on Nintendo arises.

Show all comments (29)
80°

Nintendo's Massacre Of The 3DS And Wii U Is Finally Complete, Regrettably

Hanzala from eXputer: "The cruel hammer of Nintendo has fallen. Farewell, 3DS and Wii U, you surely brightened my life and many others; you won't be forgotten."

280°

Xbox's Preservation Step Sets A Much-Needed Example, Especially For Nintendo

Hanzla from eXputer inquires: "If Xbox can care about preserving its games and legacy, what exactly is wrong with Nintendo, trying to kill game preservation single-handedly?"

purple10111d ago

Ahh yes the good old game preservation of saving all your games to a removable hhd on the Xbox 360, taking it round your mates house, setting up multiple tvs to
Be met with “save data corrupted, please re download”

Or how about removing 360 games
From the store
, download them now or else, and, better hope to god that save data doesn’t corrupt, or it’s lost for ever

Nice one ☝️

Zeref11d ago

It's better than what Nintendo and Playstation is doing. It might not be perfect but at least they are TRYING. Unlike the others.

DarXyde11d ago

Trying? Take off the blinders for a moment, mate.

1. A failure to preserve games is just that: a failure to preserve games. Don't try to sugarcoat it: NO ONE is doing it properly. Better than awful is nothing to write home about.

2. At the time of this comment, isn't it the case that you need an internet connection to play Xbox games even if you buy physical discs that are hardly in circulation anymore? I don't have a Series X and I can't verify, but I think that is correct. I'm fairly certain you can at least play PS5 games at version 1.0 (not much of a win really when many games require day one patches). I think Microsoft's all digital, licensing approach is by far more aggressive than anyone else's. They really try to push you to game pass where you lose your entire library by umm.... Skipping a month of payments.

I don't think anyone is doing it right whatsoever. Don't get me started on Nintendo, who goes after anyone looking to preserve their games better than they ever would with extreme litigation.

Don't be a simp for any of these companies. Get it together.

PhillyDonJawn11d ago (Edited 11d ago )

@DarX never speak on Xbox again. You lost all credibility with your internet connection comment. Smh you have 0 clue and misinformed yet speaking on something you don't no squat about.

Einhander197211d ago

What has Sony done exactly? You guys keep deflecting to Sony but I am not actually seeing any results, and ai am certain nothing that you can come up with even comes close to what Microsoft has done and what they have tried and failed to do, like tie all your disks to your account on xbone.

Microsoft removed their whole indie section when they moved to the xbone because they were going to only allow games on the service that came from a publisher, id@xbox started after xbone launched and it only exists because Sony embraced indie and Microsoft was forced to cancel their plans and reverse course.

And every single game that was part of games for windows live including disk games (I have gta 4 on disk that won't work) so hundreds of games that use that DRM no longer work unless the company themselves patched it out which of course very few did.

MrBaskerville10d ago

Not trying. Tried. they killed of the backcomp program years ago. They set something up again, but sounds like it's more of an attempt to save the current library on whatever they are planning next. With luck they save everything and more, but let's see. I could see them killing off parts of the OG xbox and 360 libraries. Can't imagine that they would allow us to play Forza 5-7 in the future.

With that said, I do like what they've done and really wish they could have done more.

shinoff218310d ago

Zeref

So killing off physical media is trying what exactly. Ms don't really give a fk if you think they do your kidding yourself.

Profchaos10d ago

They are not trying this team is established for forward compatability the team is. It interested in preserving Xbox or 360 games.

+ Show (3) more repliesLast reply 10d ago
isarai11d ago

Is that why Hellblade 2 is digital only?

Zeref11d ago

Just because it's digital only doesn't mean you can't preserve it. Just put it on an external and you have the exact same functionality of what a disc does.

MrNinosan11d ago

Guess you're trolling, but if you actually think that's how it works, I'd recommend buying some braincells.

mkis00710d ago (Edited 10d ago )

Volitile vs nonvolitile data. A disc will not corrupt either. A drive can be corrupted.

Einhander197211d ago

This is just a scammy PR move to distract from the fact they are going digital only and trying to push streaming and subscriptions only.

No gaming company has pushed harder to remove ownership than Microsoft.

Without discs there is no preservation, preservation can't be done by the rights holders it can only be done by the consumers, anything else is a lie.

11d ago Replies(3)
Einhander197211d ago

Anyone remember xblig which Microsoft removed their whole 360 indie section removing hundreds of games from people?

11d ago
11d ago
Zeref11d ago

Do you know you can put your games on an external and preserve them that way? There are no benefits to discs. ZERO. Idk why some of you are still obsessed with them.

DarXyde11d ago

Because games like Persona 5 exist. It's STILL V1.00. On Playstation, that's a win because 1.00 is installed on the disc—no need to download anything.

If a game does not require any updates, it's all on the disc.

Extremely low bar in the modern era, of course. It's not much of a win by any stretch.

But for now, physical media does have a purpose, at least on Playstation.

Einhander197211d ago

That is factually not how game licensing works, try plugging your hard drive into someone else xbox, It's not going to work, and it won't work if the licensing servers ever go down.

Einhander197211d ago

Anyone remember games for windows live.

I have around a dozen games, some on Steam itself that will not work because Microsoft shut off the licensing servers.

BehindTheRows11d ago (Edited 11d ago )

I do. I STILL have games (Gears of War being the big one) I cannot access because Games for Windows LIVE is total garbage and no one has held Microsoft accountable.

Zeref10d ago (Edited 10d ago )

You don't have an Xbox apparently. Because you can 100 percent plug in your external and play games from it on any Xbox console lol. You just have to be logged in to prove ownership.

Chevalier10d ago

"You don't have an Xbox apparently. Because you can 100 percent plug in your external and play games from it on any Xbox console lol. You just have to be logged in to prove ownership."

Damn how many times do people got to explain your idiocy to you? You can take a copy of Persona 5 like someone used as an example and play that game on ANY console WITHOUT logging in which means I can lend the game to a friend without internet and they can play my game. Can you lend your hard drive to anyone without logging in for them to play? NOPE. That is a huge difference and if you think otherwise then sorry you're an idiot.

Tacoboto10d ago

"No gaming company has pushed harder to remove ownership than Microsoft."

Ubisoft is literally erasing games people bought from their libraries... My PS1-3 discs are useless on modern hardware. Nintendo's re-published and resold almost their entire Wii U library, and the eShop is completely dead with no BC mechanism in the Switch software. Microsoft publishes everything they make today day one on Steam and Xbox/Windows. Sony only brings to PC the titles they think you might want some years later and Nintendo won't even design a functional long-lasting joystick.

You're absolutely trolling and not serious if you think Microsoft today is the worst offender.

shinoff218310d ago

Yay steam

Not everyone fks with computers though. The disc is still the best way as a console player. Period.

Tacoboto10d ago

How do Sony and Nintendo feel about these discs from 2001-2013?

Don't be stupid, you know Xbox is the best at this today.

+ Show (3) more repliesLast reply 10d ago
Hofstaderman11d ago

Nobody wants this. Sales or the lack of it in the case of XBOX is very telling. I wonder how the adorably all digital series X will fare. Adorably dismal perhaps?

crazyCoconuts10d ago

Only time will tell, but for from someone like me suspecting that Xbox is trying to gracefully exit the console market, that "forward compatibility" team is trying to get Xbox games playing on Windows PCs. I mean, it's nice that they're not planning on exiting with a "enjoy your games while the hardware still works" message, so that's nice. They still have a brand to protect via Microsoft so probably feel obligated to have a better exit strategy.

Xeofate10d ago (Edited 10d ago )

That is not their plan, their plan is to transfer users accounts to the cloud.

Phil Spencer himself said as much a few months back, plans could have changed but I think people are reading way too much into one statement where Phil said he would allow Epic on xbox because he wants to be able to sell xbox games directly on other platforms. Aka, instead of selling Sea of Thives through PSN he wants to have an xbox store to sell his games on PlayStation without giving PlayStation any money.

Again, it's extremely unlikely that Phil plans to put PC on xbox and licensing would prevent them from just giving out other publishers games purchased on xbox copies of thier games on PC, Microsoft does not own their games.

crazyCoconuts10d ago

The thing that doesn't align with the cloud strategy is the giving up on exclusives. You'd still need strong exclusives for cloud streaming - it's still a "platform" , just with a lower upfront hardware investment. I feel like they've learned what PS learned with PSNow long ago. We're not ready to stream games and it's only gonna lose them money to try at this point

FinalFantasyFanatic10d ago

I would love that, I'd buy up some of the Xbox games if they could run on PC, like the Rare Replay, Lost Odyssey and Dead or Alive Ultimate, probably a pipe dream though.

Show all comments (43)
90°

Nintendo's War Against Player-Made Content Will Hurt The Company In The End

Danish from eXputer: "Nintendo has historically gone against player-made content and emulation of its games. This has done much to harm the company's image."

XiNatsuDragnel18d ago

I agree nintendo hire some these folks to help in your games it'll help imo.

banger8817d ago

They need to stop announcing these mods and fan remakes until they're finished. Finish it, upload it, and then if Nintendo dmca's it tough shit. Once it's online, people can share it around, even if the original download gets taken down.

Jingsing17d ago

True, but most modders need constant admiration during the process to motivate them.

PRIMORDUS16d ago

Yup, once it's a torrent nothing can be done Nintendo is helpless at that point. But it would be wise if they just had a site on the dark web, it's also easy to use with Tor and no one will bother you.

mastershredder16d ago

This is all coming from the mouth of short-sighted fandom and grifting madness.
No.... it wont. There is a clear defined reason why they don't. This is nothing new. Make your own shi7 from your own original ideas especially if you are trying to capitalize of it it. Duh.

Yeah, hire people that have zero respect or understanding for an established process. Wow. Yep. Totally makes sense.

shinoff218316d ago

Those guys that made that sonic game got a gig from sega or something along those lines and that game was dope as hell. One of the best sonics as of late.