Analyst: Xbox One will outsell PlayStation 4 at launch

"While many forecasts still give an edge to Sony/PS4 in North America sales, we continue to expect similar or even slightly higher sales of Xbox One by the end of the launch window," Sebastian told investors.

[Mystogan]

I'm an Xbox Fan and even i have to Lol at this. But next year will be a different story though..

[mushroomwig]

What's happening next year?

[theBAWSE]

hmm

ps4 has more pre-orders

ps4 is launching in more than double the countries of xbone

is this so called 'analyst' on MICROSOFTS payroll? you have to wonder

@mystogan.. I'm with @mushroomwig,whats happening next year? or was that another waste of a bubble

[Ricegum]

Didn't you hear, Kinect Sports Rivals is out next year.

[xHeavYx]

This guy will be teaching the class "How to make stupid predictions 101" soon

[HammadTheBeast]

The rest of the first party PS4 exclusives are announced, and analysts wisen up.

[Mystogan]

Titanfall will happen. Halo Will Happen. Quantum Break Will happen. nuff said..

[Pogmathoin]

He must be on MS books.... Anyone whos says something fanboys disagree with must be...
Love the trolls calling out trolls.... All saintly and innocent.... Me included....

[gaffyh]

It says he's going by eBay listings wtf, is that serious? It's not a big leap to get to his theory based on previous history of the 360, but eBay listings?!

[Sitdown]

theBAWSE
It does not matter how many countries you launch in, but how many consoles you have available to purchase... All reports have been that Sony is pushing out more units, so by default they should sale more...... They can't even keep up with demand.

[NewAgeisHere]

Next year MS will be giving away free Xbones with every Windows cause they won't sell well...xD.

[GTgamer]

@Mystogan
"Titanfall will happen. Halo Will Happen. Quantum Break Will
happen. nuff said.."
It
Halo is gonna do as good as it always does to tbh you wont see a difference halo fans are gonna buy halo plain and simple some new adopters sure but that's it.
Quantum Break from the people who brought us alan wake good game but was nothing spectacular so i wouldnt hail it just yet maybe when you see 5 minutes of gameplay.
Titanfall that might be your only argument here tbh unless it turns out to be bad only online games tend to have a ruff start remember simcity.

Now my question is whats happening next year again?:/

[Jaqen_Hghar]

uh oh. A user hasn't SEEN Titanfall!

[brometheos]

Next year is big! Infamous, The Order, Driveclub, possibly some unannounced games. Idk what's happening for the xbox aside from Titanfall though.

[P0werVR]

Title a bit misleading. Analyst ment the by the end of the "launch window". Which makes sense when you consider Titanfall.

[pyramidshead]

@hammad nailing it

OT: I'd be surprised if it did and props to MS if it does.

[Scatpants]

Halo

[NateCole]

ND next game.

[NukaCola]

This is inaccurate as all hell. Even if the Xbone sells out, PS4 is launching in 2.5 times more countries with more than double preorders in every location to include normally Xbox dominated US and UK. Not saying Xbox One won't do well, but by common logic shows Sony has placed the PS4 in a very huge advantage point. On top of that the more expensive PS3 caught up and out sold the 360 by almost 2 million more units after the 360's major head start. With the early release in the US, higher specs, and more affordable price, I see only huge success coming with PS4 next month.

[QuickdrawMcgraw]

What's the length of a launch window?

[UltimateMaster]

It's official, I'm never depending on any analyst to try to predict the future.
They clearly suck at it.
http://www.destructoid.com/...

[assdan]

I'm pretty sure the PS4 is doing better everywhere this analyst isn't very good.

[DOMination-]

Sony might be shipping to more countries but it doesn't really count when its one whole console to Brazil and a whopping three to the UAE or wherever it was. In fact that is more pathetic spin than anything MS have ever done.

[Army_of_Darkness]

I think that miley syrus breaking ball video fucxked him up.. . Like, who saw that coming? !

[andrewsqual]

PS3 total global sales will leave 360 sales in the dirt even more, same for PS4 too for the rest of the consoles' lives.

Seriously though if anybody has any reasons as to why Xbone could ever catch up to sales on PS4 when the last console had a year headstart and was just a tad more popular than the Xbone you might say (lol), then please, tell us why.

[andibandit]

@GTGamer

Nice try

[Narutone66]

Must be the successor of Pachter, always predicting the opposite.

[indysurfn]

He based it on Ebay price difference. Lets test his logic with a actual example of this.
Lets look at the PS3/xbox360 launch and the ebay prices then.

When PS3 launched it was actually selling for $2,000 on ebay. What happened 6 weeks later there where plenty of stock setting on shelves, and xbox360 lead just like the prelaunch numbers told us it would.

Same will happen this time to except prelaunch numbers tell us it will be Sony's machine not just leading, but dominating.

[Sarick]

Maybe this.

http://www.infowars.com/cha...

Restrict or heavily tax the money to Japan, China and other international nations but allow domestic transactions to have different rules/limits. I added the link for reference. I'm really not sure but I know a lot of transactions will be limited in a few months. From my understanding this shouldn't affect big companies but there isn't enough to go on.

Also that big debt ceiling in USA comes up again early next year. What if these guys took it to the next level and actually defaulted. In any case a potential US dollar crash wouldn't be good for the gamers or console sales.

http://www.nerc.com/pa/CI/C...

I'm also skeptical that GridEx II(just before PS4 launch) won't have unforeseen issues in it's simulated mass power outage of Mexico, Canada and USA.

A lot is riding on 13-17 of November 2013. Much more is going on then the launch of PS4. In all seriousness it's been hard to discuss gaming in general.

Anyway, I'm just throwing out possible issues that could happen in USA. These could seriously effect 2014 console sales etc. Lets try and look at the bigger picture of what's going on in the world. It's simply not all cookies and cream.

Send me a Private PM instead of a comment reply please I don't want this to go off topic any more my discussing these issues directly.

[SilentNegotiator]

"Quantum Break Will happen"

It's so cute when fanboys pretend to know anything about Quantum Break or Order 1886 or some other game with no gameplay previews or predecessor.

[mikeslemonade]

Prediction:

3.7 million PS3s sold by the end of the year
2.4 million X1s sold by the end of the year

[warczar]

@silentnegotiator

For your information Gameinformer just did a 12 page article on "the Order" so there is plenty of info out there on that. It's so cute when the users of the word "fanboy" act like they know anything at all.

[vishmarx]

poor disguise troll.
it most likely will outsell ps4 at launch simply because its got more games.come feb-march and it will never catch up to the ps4 in its lifetime

[Triella]

No it's just a question of logic : Xbox One will outsell PS4 at launch but only because the latter comes first in the US and later in Europe while Xbox One as only one launch date inbetween. But by PS4 european launch everything will get back to normal.

And I can easily predict that by December 31st Sony will have sold more than double what MS will = 3 million vs 1.3~1.4 million.

[MarkusMcNugen]

@bigc072004
Yeah, fanboys get out of control but you are just as much of the problem as the xbox fanboys. You just equated an Xbox One to a $500 VCR which is just stupid, and then claim the PS4 will have a better online experience which is subjective at best. Not to mention you insinuate that Xbox One doesn't have any launch exclusives.

To sum up, its people like you who are the problem.

[Blaze929]

i dont get why a bunch of n4g gamers and nobodies think they know better than someone who's job it is to know this and get paid for it? Apparently from Microsoft's payroll too (lol)

I mean, maybe he's right juuuuust maybe? I wouldn't know, not my job. But you all seem so sure LOL. please, go.

[theBAWSE]

Yeh because his paid he must know what his talking about considering his analysis comes predominantly from.... EBay!!!!

but why would I expect any different from you calling people nobodies... throwing stones from his mother's glass basement..

[Death]

The author was using ebay markup as a way to guage demand. The Xbox One is getting 60% markup to PS4's 50%. Taking a quick look at ebay it looks like both see an average of $250 mark up in buy it nows. This is actually the opposite of what the author found. The fluctuation in PS4 prices is much greater with some asking much higher prices than I seen for Xbox One.

In short from what I can see and what the author seen it is pretty clear using ebay as a way to guage demand is stupid at best. Either he shouldn't be paid for that analysis or I should. I'm leaning towards neither of us should be paid for looking on ebay. Props to him for getting a check and me being stuck living in my moms glass basement. Thank god she took my bucket of rocks I found on the beach away.

[kneon]

And why do you think this analyst knows better than all the other analysts that see the market going the other way?

[AceBlazer13]

Economics is usually common sense that's why most of us can call bs on this claim. and do you think that the people on this site are jobless ? wouldn't be surprised if some n4gers are analysts themselves

[Bigpappy]

N4G fanboys will jump to point out that PS4 is selling in more countries, when the guy is actually and obviously only predicting North America. I agree with him by the way, not necessarily for day one, but by year end. The holiday season will be huge for M$ if they can match demand. Casuals will be the huge difference makers, and will go heavily for Xbox features.

[Destrania]

And I don't get how someone can be such an idiot, but yet here we are.

[Gamingcapacity]

Casuals will jump on the consoles with the lowest price. The only thing that will sway the mass casual audience is the huge advertising campaigne that MS will most likely have (bigger than Sony for sure)

This could even itself out with similar sales on both platforms in NA. Rest of the world will be Sony.

[Hicken]

There are millions of people who have jobs and are inept at them. This guy is one of them. And there are millions of "nobodies" around the world that can do his job better. I imagine quite a few of them are on N4G.

[Pope_Kaz_Hirai_II]

Lol blaze just lol i will leave it at that fml.

[mistertwoturbo]

Anybody with any tiny itty bitty miniscule bit of knowledge on the games industry knows that based on the entire year since the PS4 has been announced combined with the constant barrage of negative news and image of the Xbone one ANNNNNNNNNDDDDDDDD the $100 cheaper price point on the PS4, pre-order numbers from all the retailers, praise from both developers and consumers on the PS4 hardware, ALLLLLLLLL points to the PS4 outselling the Xbone...

You'd be the absolute most ignorant analyst in the entire world to think otherwise.

[rainslacker]

Thing is for every analyst that gets paid to do this sort of thing, you can find another analyst who gets paid to do this sort of thing and they will say the complete opposite.

They may be right, they may be wrong. Does it really matter?

[badz149]

@Blaze929

that's just dumb. two words, Michael...Pachter...

and if he's anything to go by, nah...you should know the rest!

and this is based on eBay?? WTF HOLY FAIL BBQ!

[RAGE91]

Thats the thing. Once its sold in the 13 regions it has right now, and is released in all other regions it equals more sales

[PSjesus]

totally http://images.wikia.com/vam...

[Platinum_Neutral]

Hahaha that was well fitted there! Made my day. Thanks

[ovnipc]

I agree. Im getting the x1 at lunch but stil ps4 wilk sell more. When ps4 get more exclusives then i jump in to ps4. This guy its wrong ps4 will sell 2:1.

[Kurt Russell]

I'm getting a tuna sandwich at lunch.

[hello12]

I ordered my X Box 1 day one edition at gamestop September 3th. But anyways i was on the gamestop page the other day for XB1.

And gamestop had a notice up in blue writing. Preorders after 5th of September is not guaranteed at launch after this date!

This either means there sold out two months before November or there is not enough XB1'S out there for everyone on launch date.

I think the PS4 will sell lot more consoles at launch, mind you, but Microsooft is not struggling to sell their console.

[clewis94]

@Mystogan You forget PS4 has Infamous, DriveClub, The Order 1866 plus maybe Naughty Dogs new game at the end of the year.

[Real_gamer]

Drive club u mean ridge racer ? Infamous sucks like rest of it they used to make it's not all about graphics it's about gameplay and story too the order 1866 bloody hell there is too many horror games coming out so who cares about it evil within will be better than the order and next time make sure Sony dev not gonna try steal gears of war gameplay for the order lol

[warczar]

can someone help me decipher what the real gamer is trying to say here? ^^

[Magicite]

PS4 is launching before X1, so how can it be outsold?

[T-Dawg6]

It's releasing 7 days before the Xbox One... It won't make much of a difference

[pompombrum]

Both consoles will probably sell out before Christmas. At that point, you can't really boast about who is out selling who. A fairer idea would be come E3 next year when both consoles should be on the shelves, then you can judge who is outselling who.

[HugoDrax]

"A fairer idea would be come E3 next year when both consoles should be on the shelves"

Not with TitanFall & InFamous on shelves...

-Infamous = FEB 2014?
-TitanFall = MARCH 11, 2014 (This is a console seller, regardless if it's on X360 & PC)

E3 2014 = JUNE 10-12,2014

[irepbtown]

Your first sentence makes no sense.

Example: If I have 10 doughnuts and sell them all, you have 5 doughnuts and sell them all, who will have the bragging rights?

I reckon they'll both sell out before Christmas, however based on pre-order, PS4 will have sold more (assuming it continues to outsell the competition).

[hellzsupernova]

I can see the xbone outselling the playstation at launch I really can thanks to Microsoft ability to spend billions on advertising where Sony can't
Plus America is still xbox territory.

[irepbtown]

I may be wrong, but isn't PS4 ahead on pre-orders even in America?

[solar]

HOW DARE SOMEONE THINK THIS?!

[Anzil]

Ya when sony releases uncharted 4 and all the other games they got comin!

[avengers1978]

The guy specifically says in North America, not actually saying he's right, but there is a pretty good chance of that happening. I'm from ohio and there are lots of Xbox fans around here.

[iiwii]

Not everybody in America rides Microsoft. I have 12 local gaming friends who all are on PS3 and will be moving to PS4 this gen.

[Agent1]

We can all predict and speculate, but the truth comes out once the consoles release next month. Only then shall the actual facts stare us at he face.

[MRMagoo123]

Thats right guys you heard it here on N4G, even tho the ps4 is selling in double the countries with probably double the allotted consoles, the xbone will somehow sell more, just ignore the polls from every single web site that has ever done one and how there is over 2 times the amount of ppl getting a ps4, the xbone will sell more.

This ANALyst needs a new job i think, and i thought patcher was bad lol.

Logic seems to fail this man pretty badly.

[GhostTurtle]

lolbay

[TBONEJF]

Those analyst are a bunch of dumb a$$e$ if you ask me

[Eddie20101]

That is the stupidest article I have read all year.

Thee reason for higher sales is because the Xbox One people are greedier. How does that even make any sence. LOL, LOL, LOL.

[AndrewLB]

I have far more confidence in this research firm than a bunch of fanboys considering Baird is HIGHLY respected in the business world, is ranked 14th on the Fortune 100, beating out Microsoft by 16 spots.

One typically doesn't become such a well respected firm by making unsubstantiated claims.

http://www.rwbaird.com/abou...

I can't find any connection between Baird and M$. In fact, they tend to be at odds, with Baird siding with google during some recent conflicts.

[showtimefolks]

yeh who are these morons again? are these like patcher who predicted that GTA3 would sell 300K lol

not only will ps4 outsell xbox one at launch but it will do so through the gen, sony are delaying launch in japan in hopes of giving more consoles to USA market and when it does launch in Japan, it will sell really well

if $599 price point
hard to develop for
beginning of PSN which wasn't great
not many games for first few years

if all these things couldn't stop ps3 from outselling xbox360 than what makes anyone think that now MS can beat sony when they are launching at the same time

wishful thinking MS

[MynextGen]

Yes I think XboxOne will outsell Ps4 guaranteed

[Gamer1982]

Its possible and only because there could possibly be more xboxes in America this holiday. There is a reason MS held back to certain countries. There won't be any in stores available as those who cannot get PS4s this holiday will probably end up forking out for an xbox instead. Of course If both Sony and MS release the same amount of consoles MS ain't got a prayer.

[iamnsuperman]

"The conjecture is backed up by data from eBay listings, which shows Xbox One mark-ups 60 percent north of the console's $500 price tag whilst those of PS4 are just a tick lower at roughly 50 percent more than its respective $400 asking price"

I do not understand this reasoning.

OT: I don't think it will just purely based on the price.

[MasterCornholio]

WTF

Is my reaction.

O.O

Nexus 7 2013

[RandomDude655]

Supply has an adverse reaction on price. It's not demand, as PS4 is polling higher in all regions. AKA low supply means higher price. If the xbox one is in lower supply, how would it sell more than ps4? Analyst is stupid.

BOOM headshot

[dumahim]

To me it sounds like he isn't factoring in supply and demand. I haven't looked, but he would have to take into consideration how many consoles are available. PS4 seems to have went into production weeks ahead of Xbox One. If there are less Xbox Ones to be had, it's no wonder the price could be higher.

I don't see how anyone can look at game pre-order numbers and figure Xbox would match or exceed PS4 sales. Xbox has arguably the better launch line-up, but PS4 still has more game pre-sales.

[lonz358]

Doubt it.

[Angels3785]

HHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA XD

Ebay listings...as its basis xDDDD what an unprofessional analyst....not even preorder numbers? This is an analyst 100% ignorant to the industry.

[Walker]

You wish !

[JuniorCE]

Fanboy analyst... Oh I see... LoL

[Knightofelemia]

Of course retailers will have a hard time keeping stock on the shelf. It depends how much stock both Sony and Microsoft have shipped out. And also its a new piece of technology and people go goo goo for new technology Apple knows this well when it comes to the Iphone. And sales between the PS4 and XB1 are going to be hard to predict right now because both consoles are brand new and what it comes down to is what can the console provide for me as the player and what are the games coming out to it.

[solidworm]

Lol

[Bryan574]

I guess people like the NSAbox.

[ruefrak]

I'm glad I'm not the only one who hasn't forgotten that MS and the NSA have a very cozy relationship.

[Grown Folks Talk]

It might even matter if you were still required to have Kinect hooked up for the system to function.

[pompombrum]

^^^ Sure, just remember not to send any joke bomb threats over XBL messaging.

[ruefrak]

And it's not just Kinect "watching" you, but it's about supporting a company that gave the NSA the keys to the encryption for their users' email. How am I ever supposed to trust Microsoft with my privacy?

[Rimfro]

You could probably trust Microsoft as much as you can trust Sony. How quickly we forget the PSN hack...

[Grown Folks Talk]

It's amusing that a society who has accused the government of spying on them since well before my 37 years on earth, all of a sudden become pushed over the edge by a video game console. They can gather info on you any time they like, & have been able to for quite some time.

[MRMagoo123]

@rimfro

What on earth does ppl hacking psn have to do with MS knowingly sharing info ? nothing at all but i guess you might need some more straws to clutch.

[Legacy212]

never understood this spying anxiety. Do people do illegal activity in their house or are all drug kingpins here? Anyways for the article im pretty sure he means only in north american and im the guy who posted this. Even i dont believe xbox one will outsell ps4 in north america and im getting an x1 but who knows maybe people like the skype stuff and extra media stuff.

[sAVAge_bEaST]

No, it's just called respect... Do you want random people, to have access to your electronic files. While making a file on you??? I don't ,,
Plus it's technically illegal to do in the U.S., but not for the all powerful NSA, and their Crony Capitalist;s such as M$..

[SirBradders]

^^ What he said.
Also microsft dont just hand it over for free they sell it so they sell you an overpriced console and then make more money of you by selling your data.
Having or not having stuff to hide is beside the point, we are entering an age were our freedom is being taken away behind closed doors.

[Campy da Camper]

No, but some sleazy perv in IT dept decides do a little snooping and sees ur girl in her panties while laying on the couch is enough for me to say forget it. Let us not forget mobile WiFi hackers doing drive through in neighborhoods turning on the kinect to see if your house is empty and if you have stuff nice enough to warrant a quick break in.

Or, shady as heck insurance companies buying user data to see what your lifestyle habits are so the can jack up your premiums.

And yes, if the govt wanted to take a looks-see at what you are doing they will. Cameras from vendors that are always looking into my apartment are not welcome. I don't use motion controls or voice commands so I have ZERO reason to have them. Having one on my phones is bad enough but that thing is not always aimed into my living quarters. My recliner has the right arm that opens up and has place for remotes and stuff. My phone is in there, in the dark any time I'm at home.

[olLANDSHARKlo]

Campy are you really that paranoid ?They make medicine for that. How often is your girl laying on the couch in panties? All the time u say, chances are she a ho.

[PirateKing]

This is like Dorothy trying to phone home with her red slippers. I wonder if these fanboy analysts convince themselves this is true, that it will somehow magically happen.

[matrixman92]

Idiot: Xbox One will outsell Playstation 4 at launch

[AbortMission]

Idiot #2: Xbux Wun is moar powerful than PS4 becuz CLOUDZ!

[ssbains]

Analyst looking for press and exposure, he should try dropping his pants, that will get him more notearity than this prediction drivel. Did he know about the 720p debacle with Call of Duty and other 3rd party games?

[C-Thunder]

I don't think it's possible just on the basis of units available at launch. Then we dive into price and now multiplayer all running better on ps4...there are uneducated consumers, but not all consumers are uneducated.

[josephayal]

PS4 sales will far exceed Xbox one

[ziggurcat]

http://25.media.tumblr.com/...

bahahahahahaha

[TechMech2]

I'd say ps4 will outsell Xbox one every month until halo 5 launches, but I don't think that will be enough to get most gamers to switch to Xbox one.

[SirBradders]

Thats why they stopped bringing halo to pc because they know they would be loaing sales.

[Neo-Axl]

"Analyst: Xbox One will outsell PlayStation 4 at launch"

LOLOL!

[captain_slow82]

this guy needs a new job lol

wait i have to edit lol

"The conjecture is backed up by data from eBay listings"
am sorry but im laughing even more hahahaha

[donman1]

And real strong medication.

[Stevino123]

Pachter's an analyst?

[BadlyPackedKeebab]

Because of how long this last gen has been and a culture change with how lay people are now open to spending more on "premium" electronic products (ipad etc) I can see more normal people jumping in early this generation. Those lay people know nothing about the things we talk about on here and certainly here in the uk I can see them jumping for the One out of nothing but brand awareness. Many of my non "gamer" friends fully believe the One will have the control everything and everything is intergrated dream working on day 1! I try and tell them they will be disapointed if they think the media stuff is going to work this side of 2015. Advertising works.

On another note: maybe they are including all of the Xbox Ones mountain dew and whatever other random US junk foods are giving away every 2 minutes.

If they really are giving one away every two minutes for a month thats half a million units!!!???!!! there must be a catch to that!

edit - found it, ok its not for a month. its for a 5 hour window on what looks like 7-14 different days its a bit confusing.

[TuxedoMoon]

There are gamers and there are casuals. Gamers are the people who read up and keep up to date with what goes on in the gaming sphere. Casuals don't and typically just get a console because of word of mouth. A lot of gamers won't buy the Xbone, but there's a high chance that a lot of casuals will simply because they had the 360 before. Those casuals might see the PS4 as "too foreign" for them too (not because it's a japanese console, but because of the controller and interface. It's simply different from xbox and what they're used to). The Xbone will probably sell well in the US...cause after all...The Xbone is a console by Americans and FOR Americans.

This is all just based on Mights, Chances, and Maybes. We all think that the ps4 will outsell the xbone, but you never know what could happen. For all that could happen, people might start picking up the Wii-u!

[WeAreLegion]

Maybe...but parents see $100 cheaper.

[donman1]

Will do what... Hahahahahahahaha. Not going to happen. Not even in the US market worse yet globally.

[smoothop]

Both consoles will sell well, it don't matter what surveys they do online because that ain't going to be the vast amount of people buying them.

People need to just get over the fact that people will buy what they like, i'm getting Xbox first and i'm happy, my money and I ain't going to let anyone sway me because they have a lot of hate built up.

Happy gaming what ever you decide to buy people.

[The_Ozymandias]

pfffffffffahahahahahahahahaaha

[123pol]

hahahahahahahaha !

[lazyboyblue]

We all know the ps4 is the one to get but we still don't know which way the casuals will go.
For all we know the 2 million preorders for ps4 could be followed by 4 million mums, dads and grans all wanting xbones for the kiddies.

[badkolo]

just on the hype alone and larger country list its much more logical to presume that ps4 will sell more and lead the roost for a while. it makes no sense for the x1 to lead with the negative press and in 13 countries.

[wenaldy]

HUEHUEHUEHUEHUEHUE

[JCOLE13195]

I'm getting an Xbox One and I totally disagree with this... But that does not mean that the Xbox One has a good amount of pre orders.

[Belking]

MS has already stated that xb1 is ahead of xbox360 preorders. I don't know if they will beat ps4 but gamers are realizing that xb1 has the stronger lineup and features. It's not gonna be the blowout people are expecting and with the watchdogs and driveclub delays this hurts their preorders even more.

[christocolus]

this is going to be really exciting to watch...so anxious to see how things play out.

[KYU2130]

I have nothing against XB1 but you can't use watchdogs against PS4 alone. It is a XB1 game as well. So the loss of Watchdogs hurts both houses. As for XB1 preorders being sold out. I have said it before i can still walk into my local Frys Electronics and order one. but everywhere i look i can't find a PS4.

[Who]

I will eventually get both consoles - the first being a PS4, however I am not impressed with their launch titles. I have to say, XB1's launch looks a bit more appealing only because I'm a diehard KI fan.

[jay2]

Lol just no

[captain_slow82]

the last few months have been awesome the shills have been proven...

xbox one pro sites have been proven...

and the xbox one fangirls are out in full force

sony i have to give it ya great job :D a small jab here a small tackle there has worked perfect bringing them all out awesome sauce :D

[ruefrak]

Maybe he meant Xbox will outsell PS4 in Redmond, WA.
If the early speculation is right then the PS4 is going to outsell the XB1 because Sony has been manufacturing them for months. And then let's see how things go once it's for sale in Japan.

[Stuart81]

It will be interesting to see what happens here in the UK. The x1 is still released 22nd nov, but we dont get ps4 til the 29th.

[Gamer666]

Whatever... I'm sick of sales articles...

Who cares as long as you get the console you want.

[Relientk77]

Yeah, that's why PS4 has more preorders lol

[solidboss07]

Let us use a bit of common sense here. If XBone sells more than PS4 (is humanity that stupid?) it will not be by much. PlayStation Network is no longer free, that levels the playing field a bit. And Microsoft is charging significantly more for a weaker system while losing more money on each unit than Sony - if Sony is losing money per unit at all? So Sony can be comfortable being behind in sales if it is not by much.
Realistically PS4 should outsell its rival on a global scale, look at PS3's sales performance.

Please stop these stupid predictions.

[Stuart81]

Also why is it that5 on this site anyone who writes something positive about xbox one is then accused of being on "Microsofts payroll" and the same when someone writes a pro ps4 statement, "they're on Sonys payroll" Grow up peeps

[boribori831]

Well with all the drm crap and 180s Sony had.so do i lol

[KHATL66]

Nothing more than a pipe dream.

[Dante81]

Are analysts typically ignorant twats, or is that just a job requirement?

[mhunterjr]

I'm not sure why people can't disquish consumer interest from the laws of supply and demand. The number of countries Sony supports at launch will mean nothing if the supply chain doesn't keep up with demand.

The leader at Christmas will be determined solely by who can ship the most units.

[Vanfernal]

PS4 comes out first, has better specs, and is ONE HUNDRED DOLLARS CHEAPER. Someone's betting on the wrong horse.

[boribori831]

The ones buying at launch are hardcores And 100$ ain't crap dude.ponies stop with that excuse its lame.i can respect the drm fiasco to an extent but the price is something stupid to pick at

[Funantic1]

I think the X1 could outsell the PS4 in the US again tho. On the VGchartz preorders X1 games have increased a lot lately and actually COD on the X1 is outselling all PS4 games. And X1 doesn't even have a launch game that'll sell a console yet....that game would be Titanfall, March 11. I think way more people are getting an X1 without preordering games yet because of the higher price. In other words PS4 buyers are able to get a game right now so the preorders for games may be close to the preorders of consoles. Whereas people have to go ahead and get the X1 console out the way and worry about the games later. I have a X1 preordered and already paid for. Now I'm hoping I can get another X1 console at launch for a family member.

[southernbanana]

It really doesn't matter to me as I am getting both consoles day one, but even I find this hard to believe considering all the bad press Xbox One has received.

[wishingW3L]

you'll be paying like $1000 for what? To play 1 game on each console? XD

If I had that kind of money I would invest it on a PC to play games at more than twice the quality than the next-gen console will ever be able to offer through their entire life-span!

[southernbanana]

You know there are some people, like me, who enjoy gaming more on their console than their PC. If your PC is where you enjoy your games then more power to you. I happen to enjoy gaming no matter what platform it is on.

[DVAcme]

Yeeeeeah, no. Just with the RIDICULOUSLY more massive international market Sony will have that XB1 won't, the userbase by the end of the launch window will be overwhelmingly in Sony's favor. I mean, jeez, during the launch window, the PS4 will launch in THIRTY TWO countries. That is a full 19 countries more than the X-Box One. By the time Microsoft gets around to releasing the system for those countries, Sony will already have had a massive head start.

[boribori831]

Reason I'm beginning to dislike Sony is because of the die hard fans .

[corvusmd]

I'm grabbing an XB1 first (possibly never PS4 now unless they string some new IP exclusives together I care about), but I'm not sure I agree with this statement.....PS4 will simply be shipping more at launch..so with both systems selling out....it's obvious PS4 will sell more. However, he does say launch window, and Titanfall is within the launch window, and I think that will bring it close, but the PS4 hype will still be up there and there won't be a lot of parents wanting to drop another $600 right after dropping $500 less than 6 months earlier. I don't think XB1 will completely catch up in sales until the next Christmas season....until then I will enjoy less annoying little kids on XBL :) Then again I'm not a sales analyst, so I could be wrong and he could be right...I actually don't care cause I will still have too many games on my plate that I need to play (24 in the first year alone!!!!)

[badboy776]

All the consoles will be sold out.

[deanobi]

Lol Pauperstation is going to get owned very soon. The truth concerning the PS4 poor capabilities and problems will pursue. Xbox One to win next gen by a landslide.

[Nocando]

I am a confessed Xbox enthusiast, but please don't be ridiculous.

[Nocando]

Even if this was true, it would not somehow enhance my enjoyment of my console of choice. Anyone that lets this bother them either way is a little mental.

[strickers]

Bubbles for use of logic over emotion. A rare forum commodity

[Shakes]

This guy should work for Wall Street. Trying to sway sales by making statements based on nothing. Does he know which console Im going to buy too? Did you guys tell him which one your going to buy?

[xxxGEOxxx]

I wanna be an "analyst" too! Just say random things, and make money. Let's try:

Cartridges will soon take over again in the gaming industry, when Sega introduces their new system follow up to the Saturn, codenamed "Pluto"

[dillhole]

Analyst: Don't quit your day job.

[DirtyPixelGaming]

Reading these comments really do nail down how pathetic you all are, and all fail to see the blatantly obvious!

Yes PS4 will sell well, but so will the Xbox One. Both will be great consoles that will BOTH sell out at launch meaning they will BOTH sell equal amounts of units.

To say the PS4 has way more exclusives coming it's way is just wrong, the majority of them are indie games, that WON'T sell a console, AAA games will, of which BOTH consoles have their fair share of varying genres that will appeal to different people.

When it comes down to it, Sony are offering the same experience that Microsoft have been offering for years by adopting the online service meaning it now needs to be paid for to go online, because lets face it the PS3 online was massively below standard. So that right there will cause them problems because they haven't had the experience offering that kind of service.

I personally will be getting the Xbox One, that is because for the past 7 years I have owned a 360 and like what they do. One thing you will all need to get in your heads is that digital WILL happen on both consoles at some point, and we will all be powerless to do anything about it, and for that reason alone is why I think the Xbox One has a slight edge over the PS4 because it will be able to adapt a lot better and over time will be the better console.

Now I am waiting for the Sony fan boys to jump on the attack but I don't care for it, you're all pathetic, and that goes for the Xbox fan boys, I get it you like the console, we just don't care for your silly little 'flame war' just buy the console you want and shut up.

Oh btw this is all coming from someone who owns BOTH consoles and will only be getting one from launch and has thought long and hard about my choice, but I imagine that some time in the future I will get a PS4 as it has got some great looking games coming its way.

*BRACES HIMSELF FOR ABUSE FOR POSTING A DIPLOMATIC AND SENSIBLE COMMENT*

[5eriously]

I have to waste my bubble on this.

"POSTING A DIPLOMATIC AND SENSIBLE COMMENT*"

What a joker, stroking your own tail and praising your ego? WOW and this coming from a typical fannyboy as well. I would endure a true fanboy any day but the arrogant troll preachers I hate with a passion those that think they are so high and mighty. As for the opinion I am afraid you are wrong and I doubt very much from the comments you have a PS3 because if you had and you bought as well as played PS3 AAA titles you would surely know that you are completely disillusioned. How many AAA games do you own from the 360 platform and how many AAA games you got for the so called PS3 you own?

I cannot see that M$ will at any point improve on what they have done for the 360 the last few years, the even transferred or rather stole most of the eXB0ne launch titles away from the 360 and rehashed them to boost their eXB0Ne launch list and as such screwed all their own current gen clients that cannot afford the new console out of their right to play those titles. I would hate them for that and anyone praising M$ for doing are disillusioned brainwashed fanboys that do not know when enough is enough. Get some Vaseline with the eXB0Ne as you would need it to lubricate your bank account while you are shafted by M$.

I wish I would remember you in a few weeks but the chance of that are very slim as I already started to forget and dismissed already what you posted as I would so like to have rubbed your nose in the results by the end of the year!

[stellarock420]

Sebastian is the dog i assume

[GentlemenRUs]

Million+ PS4 pre-orders say otherwise...

[5eriously]

Guy is 100% right looking at eBay listings! people are auctioning off their pre-orders already? They must have realised they made an error in judgement. LOL.

[HeyYouGuyz]

Analyst: nobody gives a shit what you think! :D

[Harmonizer]

And so, going against the flock now means everybody knows about "Baird Research". Brilliant!

[DJMarty]

What 'UTTER CRAP'.

PS4 releasing in 31 countries says it will LEAD SALES Lead by a LARGE MARGIN.

Reguardless wether they get sold on ebay they still end up goin to gamers.

[noctis_lumia]

keep dreaming if you think xbox will outsell the ps4 lol

[Thomaticus]

I don't care about sales. I know which console will sell the most in my household.

[1nsomniac]

This "Analyst" seems to be going against every single factual statistic that's been officially released so far.

...Something tells me this guy's not a very good analyst!

[POR_QUEEEEEEEEEEEEEE]

The only place I could see the XBONE outselling the PS4 is in Brazil, for obvious reasons.

[TristanPR77]

X1 will not outsell the PS4. The x1 may have success and that's fine but the PS4 will dominate, it have more dominated markets, a better price, is more powerful, is even more popular in the US than the x1.

[bleedsoe9mm]

if it happens would mean the NFL madden strategy worked big with casuals

[V0LT]

Is today April 1st?

[Monkeycan8]

HAHAHAHAHAHA! *wipes tear from eye*

No.

[larrysdirtydrawss]

quantum break? whats that. not one literal second has been shown of gameplay.

titan-fall,preorders look like titan-fail

halo,every xbox had a halo,whats it got them but 2nd and 3rd place(last) in the last 2 generations. the same team doesnt even make halo anymore.

[bligmerk]

This is supposed to show the power of positive thinking. Say it will be so, then it will be so. I really believe this, so Kate Upton will be going on a date with me and she will not be surprised to see me at her front door step.

[BLAKHOODe]

I dunno about this.. maybe next year.

I do think the hardcore gamers are the ones who are posting online and are the ones who pre-order, so their console of choice is going to dominate early on, BUT Nintendo has proven to us with the original Wii that there is a HUGE casual market and I think the Xbox One will be more appealing to that market in the long run. Kinect is already a hit with kids and parents and we laugh at the cable stuff on Xbox One, but there are non-gaming parents who would see that as a bonus for them.

It'll be interesting to see where this battle goes in the next year or so, but I wouldn't count Xbox One out just on pre-order numbers.

[Clarence]

Well if that's the case why didn't the 360 keep its lead over the PS3?

[BLAKHOODe]

Price. Marketing. Exclusives. Playstation Plus. Something different.

I also think it didn't help that Microsoft has taken a step back in being consumer friendly with all it's ads and restrictions. It's also may have alienated a lot of hardcore gamers with Kinect and focusing more on casual games with Kinect. There is a casual game market, but those people don't typically BUY games. They buy 1 or 2 a year, while hardcore gamers tend to buy 7 or 8. Sony offers a more PURE gaming experience without all the bells & whistles you get with the Xbox. People have figured that out, but the world is changing and I think some of the features the Xbox One are pushing will be a lot more easier embraced than what was added over time to the Xbox 360.

[Clarence]

Analyst also predicted that the PS3 would not sale more than the 360.

[ybadr]

In a parralel universe

[ricochetmg]

Ill take that bet and he will look stupid.

[MasterofMagnetism]

No.

[kingPoS]

That year head start in 2005 sure helped out a lot. Now that launch dates are more or less the same, it's purely up to customer satifaction to lead either to the top of the charts.

[Hakoom]

well maybe it does but on the long run ps4 will dominate..

when it comes to launch the only thing that will decide the winning factor is which company can manufacture faster.. if sony can manufacture more units then ps4 will win..

[strigoi814]

wow thats to deep to be analized by analyst...too much analization from M$ mr. analyst

[FanboyKilla]

u ps fanboys have got to be boiling right now lol. the truth is and even u fanboys know it sonys launch sucks!!! 400 bucks to play killzone the worst shooter at launch. And knack lol, which is basically a tec demo. You day one ps4 owners are paying 400 bucks for an I O U!! LOL!!

[pop-voxuli]

Even if that were true, it'd still be better than paying $500 for the ability to watch TV via a 1980's era VCR.

[FanboyKilla]

And the ability to play forza 5 ryse dr3 and ummm something else, oh yeah titan fall. ''xbox on''

[pop-voxuli]

Oh lord, I haven't lol'd this hard in a while!! Remember when they started giving out free Dreamcasts with a subscription to Seganet? A year & a half from now I see the same thing happening with the xbone.

[ParanoidFreak]

It ain't gonna happen. Sorry. MS's current rep, $100 premium, and limited region (plus later) release will hurt them big time.

Honestly why anyone, besides an Xbox-brand diehard, would buy their product is completely beyond me.

[Popoffboy187718]

No it won't !!! The ps4 is at a sweet price point. I need games , new game pad , headset psplus card. If I have the option I will not put an extra hundred on top of that!!!!!

[Max-Zorin]

Came here to laugh at the comments. And it really don't matter who sells the most. None of us are seeing any of that money.Until you make some investments, shut up.

[Kenshin_BATT0USAI]

Do I really need to point this out?

"Sebastian told investors"

Generally you don't tell investors the product they're backing will fall short of goals, or do worse than direct competition. LOL Regardless if it's the truth or not.

[Melankolis]

The gamers have to be the one who make predictions. Not analyst.

[Double_O_Revan]

I didn't know Patcher was writing for Destructoid!

[darthkai]

bwahahahahaha

[DoubleM70]

At the end of the launch window TitanFall drops. Don't care what you say, but it's going to give it a boost probably all year long. On top of that it might become a bundle packed by the middle of the summer.

[ZHZ90]

If someone wants to play Titanfall, and he has X360 and/or PC he doesn't need Xbone at all.

[DoubleM70]

I have a 360 and I'm not buying it for that platform. I'm buying it for the Xbox 1. All Xbox 1 games will have dedicated servers.

[ZHZ90]

I know what do you mean but I was talking about people in general because there are people have no interst to buy a new console(s), and there will be people sticking to PS3/X360 for awhile as we all know that Sony still support PS3 with exclusives lik GT6 and R&C:Nexsus and games like Tales and KH2.5 HDR and multiplats like Evil Within and MGS5 the same goes with X360 multiplats like Evil Within and MGS5 again and Titanfall.

[KontryBoy706]

Puff, the magic dragon lived by the sea....

[NewShadow101]

PS4 is shipping to more countries. has more pre-orders. BUT THAT DOESNT COUNT XBOXONE IS GOING TO WINNNNNNNNN!!!!!!!!!

i think i figured out how to fit in here :) /s

[LoneWolf019]

Infamous > Titanfall Already paying 60 bucks for a mp game in cod don't need to be spending another 60 for a mp games.

[Ch1d0r1]

Well i guess by the time the xbone launches the ps4 would have already been soldout, so it might be the only one selling on the 22nd.

[TheSaint]

Man I want an analyst job, all you have to do is make up BS all day.

Here is my analyst prediction for the day: Sony will release a new console next year, the PS5 is coming!

[llMurcielagoll]

Okay, Mr. Analyst, November isn't far from now. When Xbone and PS4 come out, we will see what really happens.

[JustThatBlackDude]

I don't care which one outsells which.

Just buy your console of preference and game on

[kewlkat007]

We all will come back to this thread in a months time...but for now enjoy.

I'll play with the fact later..

[SynestheticRoar]

F-that. I'll tell you right now that's not going to happen. PS4 FTW.

[ilovefatgirls]

i love analysts they always say the darnedest things especially american ones they change their minds as often as dogs lick their balls check back in a week with him see what he thinks

[saimcheeda]

but I wouldn't rule anything out!

[assdan]

In an unrelated story, some analysts are stupid.

[DOGGYDOGG]

if xbox really made a console that doesn't fail at such a high rate than there is no way they will sell more than sony. deny it all you want but a lot of sales are because of having to replace their junk hardware. and yes I know Microsoft is a software company not a hardware one. the only reason they are considered that is because a lack of competition. everything after xp is a joke in my opinion. if apple wasn't so expensive I would never have to look at another Microsoft logo on my screen again. I was on double digit xboxs this gen. they would send me a junk one to replace my junk one. 4 or 5 times I would have to send back their junk same day. I had one ps3 yellow light on me. 10 to 1 ratio of hours on ps3 compared to xbox. buy whatever system you want. its your money. I will not be fooled again. was a beta tester on original xbox and tried to remain supportive of them but they are truly junk in my opinion.

[TruthInsider]

Yeah, pigs fly and M$ are likeable too.